Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33249755›Full record

ArticleInternational journal for numerical methods in biomedical engineering2021

Markov chain Monte Carlo with Gaussian processes for fast parameter estimation and uncertainty quantification in a 1D fluid-dynamics model of the pulmonary circulation.

L Mihaela Paun, Dirk Husmeier

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in International journal for numerical methods in biomedical engineering, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Physics-Informed Emulation of Systemic Circulation for Fast Parameter Estimation and Uncertainty Quantification.International journal for numerical methods in biomedical engineering · 2026
    Article
  2. Article
  3. Guidelines for mechanistic modeling and analysis in cardiovascular research.American journal of physiology. Heart and circulatory physiology · 2024
    Review
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Inverse problems in blood flow modeling: A review.International journal for numerical methods in biomedical engineering · 2022
    Review
  7. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors.

L Mihaela PaunSchool of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-8734-8135
Dirk HusmeierSchool of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK.ORCID 0000-0003-1673-7413

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The past few decades have witnessed an explosive synergy between physics and the life sciences. In particular, physical modelling in medicine and physiology is a topical research area. The present work focuses on parameter inference and uncertainty quantification in a 1D fluid-dynamics model for quantitative physiology: the pulmonary blood circulation. The practical challenge is the estimation of the patient-specific biophysical model parameters, which cannot be measured directly. In principle this can be achieved based on a comparison between measured and predicted data. However, predicting data requires solving a system of partial differential equations (PDEs), which usually have no closed-form solution, and repeated numerical integrations as part of an adaptive estimation procedure are computationally expensive. In the present article, we demonstrate how fast parameter estimation combined with sound uncertainty quantification can be achieved by a combination of statistical emulation and Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling. We compare a range of state-of-the-art MCMC algorithms and emulation strategies, and assess their performance in terms of their accuracy and computational efficiency. The long-term goal is to develop a method for reliable disease prognostication in real time, and our work is an important step towards an automatic clinical decision support system.

Indexed as

AlgorithmsPulmonary CirculationBayes TheoremHumansMarkov ChainsMonte Carlo MethodUncertaintyclassificationemulationGaussian processesMCMCpulmonary circulationuncertainty quantification

Identifiers

PMID33249755
PMCPMC7901000

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.