Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33248270›Full record

ArticleThe spine journal : official journal of the North American Spine Society2021

Predictive model of ischemic optic neuropathy in spinal fusion surgery using a longitudinal medical claims database.

Heather E Moss, Lan Xiao, Shikhar H Shah, Yi-Fan Chen, Charlotte E Joslin, Steven Roth

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The spine journal : official journal of the North American Spine Society, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

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0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Postoperative vision loss and visual disturbances in a Canadian provincial administrative data repository.Canadian journal of anaesthesia = Journal canadien d'anesthesie · 2025
    Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Heather E MossDepartment of Ophthalmology, Stanford University, Palo Alto, CA; Department of Neurology & Neurological Sciences, Stanford University, Palo Alto, CA. Electronic address: hemoss@stanford.edu.
Lan XiaoCenter for Population Health Sciences, Stanford University, Stanford, CA.
Shikhar H ShahDepartment of Anesthesiology, Walter Reed Military Medical Center, Bethesda, MD, USA.
Yi-Fan ChenCenter for Clinical and Translational Sciences, University of Illinois, Chicago, IL, USA.
Charlotte E JoslinDepartment of Ophthalmology and Visual Sciences, University of Illinois, Chicago, IL, USA.
Steven RothDepartment of Anesthesiology, University of Illinois, Chicago, IL, USA.

Funding

Strengthening Stakeholder Engagement in Human Research Protections.UL1TR002003 · NCATS · UNIVERSITY OF ILLINOIS AT CHICAGO · PI KARNIK, NIRANJAN SUBHASH, MERMELSTEIN, ROBIN J. · 2016 to 2024
$33.7M
Translational Core for Therapeutic and Diagnostic DevelopmentP30EY001792 · NEI · UNIVERSITY OF ILLINOIS AT CHICAGO · PI MCANANY, JAMES JASON · 1985 to 2025
$14.8M
Stanford Vision Research CoreP30EY026877 · NEI · STANFORD UNIVERSITY · PI Jeffrey L Goldberg · 2017 to 2026
$8.0M
Physiologically Based Markers of Idiopathic Intracranial HypertensionK23EY024345 · NEI · UNIVERSITY OF ILLINOIS AT CHICAGO · PI MOSS, HEATHER ELSPETH · 2014 to 2018
$1.1M
Center for Clinical and Translational ScienceKL2TR000048 · NCATS · UNIVERSITY OF ILLINOIS AT CHICAGO · PI AZAR, DIMITRI T, MERMELSTEIN, ROBIN J. · 2012 to 2014
$559k
Risk factor anaylysis of perioperative visual lossR21EY027447 · NEI · UNIVERSITY OF ILLINOIS AT CHICAGO · PI ROTH, STEVEN · 2017 to 2018
$488k
NCATS NIH HHS KL2 TR000048NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR002003NEI NIH HHS K23 EY024345NEI NIH HHS P30 EY001792NEI NIH HHS P30 EY026877NEI NIH HHS R21 EY027447
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

background contextPerioperative ischemic optic neuropathy (ION) is a devastating complication of spinal fusion surgery. PURPOSE: To develop predictive models of this blinding condition using a longitudinal medical administrative claims database, which provides temporal sequence of perioperative ischemic optic neuropathy and potential risk factors.

designNested case control study. PATIENT SAMPLE: Participants in Cliniformatics Data Mart medical claims database (2007-2017) with hospitalization involving lumbar or thoracic spinal fusion surgery and no history of ION. OUTCOME MEASURES: Perioperative ION (or not) during hospitalization for lumbar or thoracic spinal fusion surgery.

methodsSixty-five ION cases and 106,871 controls were identified. Matched controls (n=211) were selected based on year of surgery and zip code. Chronic and perioperative variables were assigned based on medical claims codes. Least absolute shrinkage and selection (LASSO) penalized conditional logistic regression with 10-fold cross validation was used to select variables for the optimal predictive model from the subset of variables with p<.15 between cases and matched controls (unadjusted conditional logistic regression). Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were generated for the strata-independent matched and full sample.

resultsThe predictive model included age 57-65 years, male gender, diabetes with and without complications, chronic anemia, hypertension, heart failure, carotid stenosis, perioperative hemorrhage and perioperative organ damage. Area under ROC curve was 0.75 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.68, 0.82) for the matched sample and 0.72 (95% CI: 0.66, 0.78) for the full sample.

conclusionsThis predictive model for ION in spine fusion considering chronic conditions and perioperative conditions is unique to date in its use of longitudinal medical claims data, inclusion of International Classification of Disease-10 codes and study of ophthalmic conditions as risk factors. Similar to other studies of this condition the multivariable model included age, male gender, perioperative organ damage and perioperative hemorrhage. Hypertension, chronic anemia and carotid artery stenosis were new predictive factors identified by this study.

Indexed as

Optic Neuropathy, IschemicSpinal FusionAgedCase-Control StudiesDatabases, FactualHumansMaleMiddle AgedPostoperative ComplicationsRisk FactorsComplicationsEpidemiologyIschemic optic neuropathyMedical claimsPredictionSpinal fusionVision loss

Identifiers

PMID33248270
PMCPMC7887045

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.