ArticleScientific reports2020
Variation in microparasite free-living survival and indirect transmission can modulate the intensity of emerging outbreaks.
Article in Scientific reports, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 15 papers.
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15 citing papers in PubMed, 17 citations in OpenAlex.
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- Estimating Environmental Transmission Risk From Host Movement Data.Ecology and evolution · 2025Article
- Virulence and transmission biology of the widespread, ecologically important pathogen of zooplankton,Applied and environmental microbiology · 2024Article
- Evolutionary Invasion Analysis of Modern Epidemics Highlights the Context-Dependence of Virulence Evolution.Bulletin of mathematical biology · 2024Article
- Acarofauna associated with organic matter in laying aviaries of different rearing systems in Brazil.Experimental & applied acarology · 2023Article
- Heterogeneity in network structure switches the dominant transmission mode of infectious diseases.PNAS nexus · 2023Article
- Out of the 'host' box: extreme off-host conditions alter the infectivity and virulence of a parasitic bacterium.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2023Article
- Environmental transmission of Pseudogymnoascus destructans to hibernating little brown bats.Scientific reports · 2023Article
- Confirmatory Virucidal Activity of Ionised Active Water S-100® on the SARS-CoV-2 Virus.Advances in virology · 2022Article
- Inactivation of SARS-CoV-2 on surfaces and in solution with Virusend (TX-10), a novel disinfectant.Access microbiology · 2021Article
- Effects of population co-location reduction on cross-county transmission risk of COVID-19 in the United States.Applied network science · 2021Article
- Superspreading events in the transmission dynamics of SARS-CoV-2: Opportunities for interventions and control.PLoS biology · 2020Article
- Article
- Transmission of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 through asymptomatic carriers and aerosols: A major public health challenge.Revista da Sociedade Brasileira de Medicina Tropical · 2020Article
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Authors and funding
6 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.
Funding
Abstract
Variation in free-living microparasite survival can have a meaningful impact on the ecological dynamics of established and emerging infectious diseases. Nevertheless, resolving the importance of indirect and environmental transmission in the ecology of epidemics remains a persistent challenge. It requires accurately measuring the free-living survival of pathogens across reservoirs of various kinds and quantifying the extent to which interaction between hosts and reservoirs generates new infections. These questions are especially salient for emerging pathogens, where sparse and noisy data can obfuscate the relative contribution of different infection routes. In this study, we develop a mechanistic, mathematical model that permits both direct (host-to-host) and indirect (environmental) transmission and then fit this model to empirical data from 17 countries affected by an emerging virus (SARS-CoV-2). From an ecological perspective, our model highlights the potential for environmental transmission to drive complex, nonlinear dynamics during infectious disease outbreaks. Summarizing, we propose that fitting alternative models with indirect transmission to real outbreak data from SARS-CoV-2 can be useful, as it highlights that indirect mechanisms may play an underappreciated role in the dynamics of infectious diseases, with implications for public health.
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