Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33247134›Full record

ArticleNature communications2020

Plasma N-terminal tau fragment levels predict future cognitive decline and neurodegeneration in healthy elderly individuals.

Jasmeer P Chhatwal, Aaron P Schultz, Yifan Dang, Beth Ostaszewski, Lei Liu, Hyun-Sik Yang, Keith A Johnson, Reisa A Sperling, Dennis J Selkoe

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 40 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
40citing papers in PubMed
5.3field-weighted citation impact, top 3% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

40 citing papers in PubMed, 64 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. The relationship of soluble tau species with Alzheimer's disease amyloid plaque removal and tau pathology.Alzheimer's & dementia : the journal of the Alzheimer's Association · 2025
    Trial
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  10. Circulating Biomarkers for the Early Diagnosis of Alzheimer's Disease.International journal of molecular sciences · 2025
    Review
  11. Plasma N-terminal tau fragment is an amyloid-dependent biomarker in Alzheimer's disease.Alzheimer's & dementia : the journal of the Alzheimer's Association · 2025
    Article
  12. Article
  13. Review
  14. Review
  15. Review
  16. Article
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  18. Review
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  20. Plasma NT1-tau and AβAlzheimer's & dementia : the journal of the Alzheimer's Association · 2023
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Jasmeer P ChhatwalMassachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-7792-1698
Aaron P SchultzMassachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA, USA.
Yifan DangBrigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, MA, USA.
Beth OstaszewskiBrigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, MA, USA.
Lei LiuBrigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, MA, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-4604-4629
Hyun-Sik YangMassachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-8318-0443
Keith A JohnsonMassachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA, USA.
Reisa A SperlingMassachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA, USA. reisa@bwh.harvard.edu.
Dennis J SelkoeBrigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, MA, USA. dselkoe@bwh.harvard.edu.
Brigham and Women's Hospital · USHarvard University · US

Funding

TRANSGENICS AND PRESENILIN FUNCTIONP01AG015379 · NIA · BRIGHAM AND WOMEN'S HOSPITAL · PI BEREZOVSKA, OKSANA, SELKOE, DENNIS J · 1998 to 2023
$51.3M
Vascular factors, physical activity, and inflammation as modulators of neurodegenerative and cognitive trajectories (Project 2)P01AG036694 · NIA · MASSACHUSETTS GENERAL HOSPITAL · PI Rebecca E Amariglio · 2010 to 2026
$50.2M
Linking Sleep Disruption to Tau Accumulation and Network Dysregulation in Early Alzheimer's DiseaseR01AG062667 · NIA · MASSACHUSETTS GENERAL HOSPITAL · PI CHHATWAL, JASMEER P · 2019 to 2024
$4.2M
Plasma tau and neurodegenerative markers as predictors of rate of AD progressionR01AG071865 · NIA · MASSACHUSETTS GENERAL HOSPITAL · PI CHHATWAL, JASMEER P · 2021 to 2025
$4.2M
AGING IN THE BRAIN--ROLE OF THE FIBROUS PROTEINSR01AG006173 · NIA · BRIGHAM AND WOMEN'S HOSPITAL · PI SELKOE, DENNIS J · 1985 to 2016
$2.5M
Aging in the Brain: Role of the Fibrous ProteinsRF1AG006173 · NIA · BRIGHAM AND WOMEN'S HOSPITAL · PI SELKOE, DENNIS J · 2017 to 2017
$2.2M
Mentoring Imaging Research in Early ADK24AG035007 · NIA · BRIGHAM AND WOMEN'S HOSPITAL · PI SPERLING, REISA A. · 2010 to 2020
$1.4M
Immunogenetic contribution to the progression of preclinical Alzheimer's diseaseK23AG062750 · NIA · BRIGHAM AND WOMEN'S HOSPITAL · PI YANG, HYUN-SIK · 2019 to 2023
$982k
Age and genetic influence on fcMRI networks in autosomal dominant and sporadic ADK23AG049087 · NIA · MASSACHUSETTS GENERAL HOSPITAL · PI CHHATWAL, JASMEER P · 2015 to 2019
$931k
Doris Duke Charitable Foundation 2019096NIA NIH HHS K23 AG049087NIA NIH HHS K23 AG062750NIA NIH HHS K24 AG035007NIA NIH HHS P01 AG015379NIA NIH HHS P01 AG036694NIA NIH HHS R01 AG006173NIA NIH HHS R01 AG062667NIA NIH HHS R01 AG071865NIA NIH HHS RF1 AG006173
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The availability of blood-based assays detecting Alzheimer's disease (AD) pathology should greatly accelerate AD therapeutic development and improve clinical care. This is especially true for markers that capture the risk of decline in pre-symptomatic stages of AD, as this would allow one to focus interventions on participants maximally at risk and at a stage prior to widespread synapse loss and neurodegeneration. Here we quantify plasma concentrations of an N-terminal fragment of tau (NT1) in a large, well-characterized cohort of clinically normal elderly who were followed longitudinally. Plasma NT1 levels at study entry (when all participants were unimpaired) were highly predictive of future cognitive decline, pathological tau accumulation, neurodegeneration, and transition to a diagnosis of MCI/AD. These predictive effects were particularly strong in participants with even modestly elevated brain β-amyloid burden at study entry, suggesting plasma NT1 levels capture very early cognitive, pathologic and neurodegenerative changes along the AD trajectory.

Indexed as

AgedAlzheimer DiseaseAmyloid beta-PeptidesCognitive DysfunctionFemaleGray MatterHumansMagnetic Resonance ImagingMaleMemory, EpisodicNerve Degenerationtau ProteinsAmyloid beta-Peptidestau Proteins

Identifiers

PMID33247134
PMCPMC7695712
OpenAlexW3108125496

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.