Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33243806›Full record

Trial reportBMJ open2020

Cost-effectiveness analysis of adding ramucirumab to the first-line erlotinib treatment for untreated EGFR-mutated metastatic non-small cell lung cancer in China.

Qiao Liu, Xia Luo, Liubao Peng, Lidan Yi, Xiaomin Wan, Xiaohui Zeng, Chongqing Tan

Open access · goldAbstract readRandomized Controlled Trial
In one paragraph

Trial report in BMJ open, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
0.8field-weighted citation impact, top 23% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 8 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 1 institution in 2 countries.

Qiao LiuDepartment of Pharmacy, The Second Xiangya Hospital of Central South University, Changsha, China.
Xia LuoDepartment of Pharmacy, The Second Xiangya Hospital of Central South University, Changsha, China.
Liubao PengDepartment of Pharmacy, The Second Xiangya Hospital of Central South University, Changsha, China.
Lidan YiDepartment of Pharmacy, The Second Xiangya Hospital of Central South University, Changsha, China.
Xiaomin WanDepartment of Pharmacy, The Second Xiangya Hospital of Central South University, Changsha, China.
Xiaohui ZengPET Imaging Center, The Second Xiangya Hospital of Central South University, Changsha, China tanchongqing@csu.edu.cn zengxiaohui2008@csu.edu.cn.
Chongqing TanDepartment of Pharmacy, The Second Xiangya Hospital of Central South University, Changsha, China tanchongqing@csu.edu.cn zengxiaohui2008@csu.edu.cn.ORCID 0000-0002-6007-4170
Central South University · CN

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo investigate the cost-effectiveness of ramucirumab plus erlotinib compared with placebo plus erlotinib in the first-line setting for patients with EGFR-mutated metastatic non-small cell lung cancer (mNSCLC) from the Chinese healthcare system perspective.

designA Markov model consisting of three health states using clinical survival data from the RELAY phase III randomised clinical trial, a lifetime horizon for costs and quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) was constructed to analyse the cost-effectiveness of ramucirumab plus erlotinib. One-way and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were performed to evaluate the robustness of the model. Additional price reduction scenario analyses were performed.

settingThe Chinese healthcare system perspective.

participantsA hypothetical Chinese cohort of patients with confirmed previously documented ex19del or Leu858Arg mutation stage IV NSCLC, and without known epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) Thr790Met mutation and central nervous system metastases.

interventionsRamucirumab plus erlotinib versus placebo plus erlotinib. PRIMARY OUTCOME MEASURE: Costs, QALYs, incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER).

resultsIn base-case analysis, ramucirumab plus erlotinib yield an additional 4.21 QALYs at a cost of $540 590, resulting in an ICER of $128 302/QALY. In price reduction scenario analysis, the ICER ($65 227/QALY) was decreased significantly when the National Reimbursement Drug List (NRDL) negotiation was available for ramucirumab, and the ICER ($131 554/QALY) was increased slightly when the NRDL negotiation was unavailable for erlotinib. Sensitivity analyses demonstrated our results to be most sensitive to the unit cost of ramucirumab (10 mg/kg), and more than 52.1% reduction in the price of ramucirumab resulted in the ICER under the willingness-to-pay threshold set for affluent regions ($70 353/QALY).

conclusionsRamucirumab plus erlotinib is unlikely to be cost-effective for patients with untreated EGFR-mutated mNSCLC in China. Reducing the price of ramucirumab through the National Healthcare Security Administration negotiation was found to be the most realistic action to improve cost-effectiveness.

Indexed as

Carcinoma, Non-Small-Cell LungLung NeoplasmsAntibodies, Monoclonal, HumanizedAntineoplastic Combined Chemotherapy ProtocolsChinaCost-Benefit AnalysisErbB ReceptorsErlotinib HydrochlorideHumansQuality-Adjusted Life YearsRamucirumabAntibodies, Monoclonal, HumanizedEGFR protein, humanErbB ReceptorsErlotinib HydrochlorideRamucirumabhealth economicshealth policyoncology

Identifiers

PMID33243806
PMCPMC7692814
OpenAlexW3108927188

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.