Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33242157›Full record

ArticleDigestive diseases and sciences2021

Development and Validation of a Risk Scoring Model for Early Prediction of Severe Colon Ischemia.

Min Young Shin, Hee Seok Moon, In Sun Kwon, Jae Ho Park, Ju Seok Kim, Sun Hyung Kang, Eaum Seok Lee, Seok Hyun Kim, Jae Kyu Sung, Byung Seok Lee and 1 more

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Article in Digestive diseases and sciences, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
0.4field-weighted citation impact, top 34% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed, 4 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Min Young ShinDivision of Gastroenterology, Department of Internal Medicine, Chungnam National University Hospital, Chungnam National University College of Medicine, 282 Munhwa-ro, Jung-gu, Daejeon, 35015, South Korea.
Hee Seok MoonDivision of Gastroenterology, Department of Internal Medicine, Chungnam National University Hospital, Chungnam National University College of Medicine, 282 Munhwa-ro, Jung-gu, Daejeon, 35015, South Korea. mhs1357@cnuh.co.kr.ORCID 0000-0002-8806-2163
In Sun KwonClinical Trials Center, Chungnam National University Hospital, Daejeon, South Korea.
Jae Ho ParkDivision of Gastroenterology, Department of Internal Medicine, Chungnam National University Hospital, Chungnam National University College of Medicine, 282 Munhwa-ro, Jung-gu, Daejeon, 35015, South Korea.
Ju Seok KimDivision of Gastroenterology, Department of Internal Medicine, Chungnam National University Hospital, Chungnam National University College of Medicine, 282 Munhwa-ro, Jung-gu, Daejeon, 35015, South Korea.
Sun Hyung KangDivision of Gastroenterology, Department of Internal Medicine, Chungnam National University Hospital, Chungnam National University College of Medicine, 282 Munhwa-ro, Jung-gu, Daejeon, 35015, South Korea.
Eaum Seok LeeDivision of Gastroenterology, Department of Internal Medicine, Chungnam National University Hospital, Chungnam National University College of Medicine, 282 Munhwa-ro, Jung-gu, Daejeon, 35015, South Korea.
Seok Hyun KimDivision of Gastroenterology, Department of Internal Medicine, Chungnam National University Hospital, Chungnam National University College of Medicine, 282 Munhwa-ro, Jung-gu, Daejeon, 35015, South Korea.
Jae Kyu SungDivision of Gastroenterology, Department of Internal Medicine, Chungnam National University Hospital, Chungnam National University College of Medicine, 282 Munhwa-ro, Jung-gu, Daejeon, 35015, South Korea.
Byung Seok LeeDivision of Gastroenterology, Department of Internal Medicine, Chungnam National University Hospital, Chungnam National University College of Medicine, 282 Munhwa-ro, Jung-gu, Daejeon, 35015, South Korea.
Hyun Yong JeongDivision of Gastroenterology, Department of Internal Medicine, Chungnam National University Hospital, Chungnam National University College of Medicine, 282 Munhwa-ro, Jung-gu, Daejeon, 35015, South Korea.
Chungnam National University Hospital · KRChungnam National University · KR

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundColon ischemia (CI) is injury to the intestines secondary to insufficient blood flow. Its clinical severity can range from mild to life-threatening.

aimsTo investigate predictive risk factors for CI and propose a scoring model for severe outcomes.

methodsWe retrospectively analyzed the medical records of patients admitted to Chungnam National University Hospital from January 2010 to December 2018. CI was defined as severe when patients required surgery immediately or after initial conservative management, death occurred after hospitalization, or symptoms persisted after 2 weeks. By controlling for possible confounders from the logistic regression analysis, we obtained a new risk scoring model for the early prediction of severe CI. Furthermore, using the area under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUROC), we assessed the accuracy of the model.

resultsA total of 274 patients endoscopically diagnosed with CI were included, of whom 181 had severe CI. In the multivariate analysis, tachycardia, elevated C-reactive protein, Favier endoscopic classification stage ≥ 2, and history of hypertension were independently and significantly associated with severe CI. The AUROC of the model was 0.749.

conclusionsThis risk scoring model based on the presence of tachycardia, elevated C-reactive protein level, unfavorable endoscopic findings by Favier's classification, and the history of hypertension could be used to predict severe CI outcomes at an early stage.

Indexed as

Area Under CurveColitis, IschemicFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedPrognosisReproducibility of ResultsRetrospective StudiesRisk FactorsROC CurveColon ischemiaPredictive modelPrognosisRisk factors

Identifiers

PMID33242157
OpenAlexW3107895444

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.