Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33241523›Full record

ArticleEuropean radiology2021

A prediction model for overall survival after transarterial chemoembolization for hepatocellular carcinoma invading the hepatic vein or inferior vena cava.

Hee Ho Chu, Seng-Yong Chun, Jin Hyoung Kim, Pyeong Hwa Kim, Dong Il Gwon, Heung-Kyu Ko, Nayoung Kim

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Article in European radiology, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Hee Ho ChuDepartment of Radiology and Research Institute of Radiology, Asan Medical Center, University of Ulsan College of Medicine, 88, Olympic-ro 43-gil, Songpa-gu, Seoul, 05505, South Korea.
Seng-Yong ChunDepartment of Radiology and Research Institute of Radiology, Asan Medical Center, University of Ulsan College of Medicine, 88, Olympic-ro 43-gil, Songpa-gu, Seoul, 05505, South Korea.
Jin Hyoung KimDepartment of Radiology and Research Institute of Radiology, Asan Medical Center, University of Ulsan College of Medicine, 88, Olympic-ro 43-gil, Songpa-gu, Seoul, 05505, South Korea. jhkimrad@amc.seoul.kr.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-7300-6396
Pyeong Hwa KimDepartment of Radiology and Research Institute of Radiology, Asan Medical Center, University of Ulsan College of Medicine, 88, Olympic-ro 43-gil, Songpa-gu, Seoul, 05505, South Korea.
Dong Il GwonDepartment of Radiology and Research Institute of Radiology, Asan Medical Center, University of Ulsan College of Medicine, 88, Olympic-ro 43-gil, Songpa-gu, Seoul, 05505, South Korea.
Heung-Kyu KoDepartment of Radiology and Research Institute of Radiology, Asan Medical Center, University of Ulsan College of Medicine, 88, Olympic-ro 43-gil, Songpa-gu, Seoul, 05505, South Korea.
Nayoung KimDepartment of Clinical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Asan Medical Center, University of Ulsan College of Medicine, Seoul, South Korea.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesAn effective therapeutic option has not yet been established for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) invading the hepatic vein (HV) or inferior vena cava (IVC). This study aimed to determine the therapeutic effect of transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) in HCC patients with HV or IVC invasion, and to build a risk prediction model.

methodsData from patients who underwent TACE as a first-line treatment for HCC invading the HV or IVC between 1997 and 2019 were retrospectively evaluated.

resultsData from 296 patients were included (1997-2006 comprised the training cohort, n = 174; 2007-2019 comprised the validation cohort, n = 122). The median post-TACE survival was 7.3 months and an objective tumor response was achieved in 34.1% of patients. Multivariable Cox analysis of the training cohort identified five pretreatment factors (maximal tumor size > 10 cm, infiltrative HCC, combined portal vein invasion, extrahepatic metastasis, and ECOG performance status 1), which were used to create predictive models for overall survival. Median overall survival times in the validation cohort were 14 and 4.2 months for the low (sum of risk score: 0-3)- and high-risk (sum of risk score: 4-7) groups, respectively (p < 0.001). Time-dependent ROC curves for the predictive models for overall survival applied to the validation cohort showed acceptable AUC values (0.723 and 0.667 at 6 months and 1 year).

conclusionsTACE seems effective for selected patients with HCC invading the HV or IVC. The predictive model may help to identify candidates most likely to benefit from TACE. KEY POINTS: • To develop a risk prediction model for patients with HCC with HV or IVC invasion treated with TACE, five factors were selected from a multivariate Cox regression model for overall survival. • The combination of these factors helped to identify two prognostic categories: low- and high-risk. • The predictive model can help to select candidates who will benefit most from TACE in this patient group.

Indexed as

Carcinoma, HepatocellularChemoembolization, TherapeuticLiver NeoplasmsHepatic VeinsHumansRetrospective StudiesTreatment OutcomeVena Cava, InferiorHepatocellular carcinomaSurvival analysisTherapeutic chemoembolization

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.