ArticleBritish journal of sports medicine2020
Estimating the global economic benefits of physically active populations over 30 years (2020-2050).
Article in British journal of sports medicine, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 27 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.
What it found
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The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
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Who cites it
27 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.
- An individual participant data meta-analysis of how physical activity relates to affective well-being in daily life.Nature human behaviour · 2026Pooled it
- Which resistance training is safest to practice? A systematic review.Journal of orthopaedic surgery and research · 2023Pooled it
- Barriers and Facilitators of Exercise Participation Among Community-Dwelling Older Adults with Chronic Conditions: A Qualitative Study Using the COM-B Model and Theoretical Domains Framework.Healthcare (Basel, Switzerland) · 2026Article
- Physical activity for small- and medium-sized enterprises: what features work in real life? A Delphi study.European journal of public health · 2026Article
- A Physical Activity Clinical Practice Guideline for People With Moderate to Severe Traumatic Brain Injury.Clinical and public health guidelines · 2025Article
- 2025 Heart Disease and Stroke Statistics: A Report of US and Global Data From the American Heart Association.Circulation · 2025Review
- The long-term effect of the coronavirus pandemic on parkrun participation: an interrupted time series analysis.BMC public health · 2024Article
- Factors associated with physical inactivity among Palestinians with type 2 diabetes mellitus treated in resource-limited settings.Scientific reports · 2024Article
- Longitudinal leisure-time physical activity profiles throughout adulthood and related characteristics: a 36-year follow-up study of the older Finnish Twin Cohort.The international journal of behavioral nutrition and physical activity · 2024Article
- 2024 Heart Disease and Stroke Statistics: A Report of US and Global Data From the American Heart Association.Circulation · 2024Review
- More People, More Active, More Often for Heart Health - Taking Action on Physical Activity.Global heart · 2024Review
- Changes in Teleworking and Physical Activity Behaviors in the United States Before and After Emergence of COVID-19.Journal of occupational and environmental medicine · 2023Article
- Physical Activity Preferences of People Living with Brain Injury: Formative Qualitative Research to Develop a Discrete Choice Experiment.The patient · 2023Article
- The Impact of Physical Activity and Inactivity on Cardiovascular Risk across Women's Lifespan: An Updated Review.Journal of clinical medicine · 2023Review
- Partially different? The importance of general equilibrium in health economic evaluations: An application to nocturia.Health economics · 2023Article
- Heart Disease and Stroke Statistics-2023 Update: A Report From the American Heart Association.Circulation · 2023Review
- The cost of inaction on physical inactivity to public health-care systems: a population-attributable fraction analysis.The Lancet. Global health · 2023Article
- The association between health costs and physical inactivity; analysis from the Physical Activity at Work study in Thailand.Frontiers in public health · 2023Article
- Level of physical activity and its associated factors among adults in southeast Ethiopia: a community-based cross-sectional study.BMJ open · 2022Article
- Workplace physical activity practices in real life: a scoping review of grey literature for small- and medium-sized enterprises.European journal of public health · 2022Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
10 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
objectivesWe assess the potential benefits of increased physical activity for the global economy for 23 countries and the rest of the world from 2020 to 2050. The main factors taken into account in the economic assessment are excess mortality and lower productivity.
methodsThis study links three methodologies. First, we estimate the association between physical inactivity and workplace productivity using multivariable regression models with proprietary data on 120 143 individuals in the UK and six Asian countries (Australia, Malaysia, Hong Kong, Thailand, Singapore and Sri Lanka). Second, we analyse the association between physical activity and mortality risk through a meta-regression analysis with data from 74 prior studies with global coverage. Finally, the estimated effects are combined in a computable general equilibrium macroeconomic model to project the economic benefits of physical activity over time.
resultsDoing at least 150 min of moderate-intensity physical activity per week, as per lower limit of the range recommended by the 2020 WHO guidelines, would lead to an increase in global gross domestic product (GDP) of 0.15%-0.24% per year by 2050, worth up to US$314-446 billion per year and US$6.0-8.6 trillion cumulatively over the 30-year projection horizon (in 2019 prices). The results vary by country due to differences in baseline levels of physical activity and GDP per capita.
conclusionsIncreasing physical activity in the population would lead to reduction in working-age mortality and morbidity and an increase in productivity, particularly through lower presenteeism, leading to substantial economic gains for the global economy.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.