ArticleJournal of the Royal Society, Interface2020
Future climates: Markov blankets and active inference in the biosphere.
Article in Journal of the Royal Society, Interface, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 15 papers.
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
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Who cites it
15 citing papers in PubMed, 66 citations in OpenAlex.
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- Life, its origin, and its distribution: a perspective from the Conway-Kochen Theorem and the Free Energy Principle.Communicative & integrative biology · 2025Review
- Active Inference and Social Actors: Towards a Neuro-Bio-Social Theory of Brains and Bodies in Their Worlds.Kolner Zeitschrift fur Soziologie und Sozialpsychologie · 2024Article
- Phylogenetic diversity and functional potential of the microbial communities along the Bay of Bengal coast.Scientific reports · 2023Article
- A scale-free universal relational information matrix (N-space) reconciles the information problem: N-space as the fabric of reality.Communicative & integrative biology · 2023Article
- Resurrecting Gaia: harnessing the Free Energy Principle to preserve life as we know it.Frontiers in psychology · 2023Review
- Competency in Navigating Arbitrary Spaces as an Invariant for Analyzing Cognition in Diverse Embodiments.Entropy (Basel, Switzerland) · 2022Article
- Applying the Free Energy Principle to Complex Adaptive Systems.Entropy (Basel, Switzerland) · 2022Article
- The Free Energy Principle for Perception and Action: A Deep Learning Perspective.Entropy (Basel, Switzerland) · 2022Review
- Synchronous Generative Development amidst Situated Entropy.Entropy (Basel, Switzerland) · 2022Article
- Learned uncertainty: The free energy principle in anxiety.Frontiers in psychology · 2022Article
- Earth's Complexity Is Non-Computable: The Limits of Scaling Laws, Nonlinearity and Chaos.Entropy (Basel, Switzerland) · 2021Article
- An Active Inference Model of Collective Intelligence.Entropy (Basel, Switzerland) · 2021Article
- Active Inference: Applicability to Different Types of Social Organization Explained through Reference to Industrial Engineering and Quality Management.Entropy (Basel, Switzerland) · 2021Article
- Minimal physicalism as a scale-free substrate for cognition and consciousness.Neuroscience of consciousness · 2021Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
4 authors at 2 institutions in 2 countries.
Funding
Abstract
We formalize the Gaia hypothesis about the Earth climate system using advances in theoretical biology based on the minimization of variational free energy. This amounts to the claim that non-equilibrium steady-state dynamics-that underwrite our climate-depend on the Earth system possessing a Markov blanket. Our formalization rests on how the metabolic rates of the biosphere (understood as Markov blanket's internal states) change with respect to solar radiation at the Earth's surface (i.e. external states), through the changes in greenhouse and albedo effects (i.e. active states) and ocean-driven global temperature changes (i.e. sensory states). Describing the interaction between the metabolic rates and solar radiation as climatic states-in a Markov blanket-amounts to describing the dynamics of the internal states as actively inferring external states. This underwrites climatic non-equilibrium steady-state through free energy minimization and thus a form of planetary autopoiesis.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.