Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33232262›Full record

ArticleJMIR public health and surveillance2021

The Influence of Average Temperature and Relative Humidity on New Cases of COVID-19: Time-Series Analysis.

Zonglin He, Yiqiao Chin, Shinning Yu, Jian Huang, Casper J P Zhang, Ke Zhu, Nima Azarakhsh, Jie Sheng, Yi He, Pallavi Jayavanth and 3 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in JMIR public health and surveillance, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 15 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
15citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

15 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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  5. Observational
  6. Article
  7. Review
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  9. Article
  10. Prerequisite for COVID-19 Prediction: A Review on Factors Affecting the Infection Rate.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022
    Review
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Observational
  15. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors.

Zonglin He *School of Medicine, Jinan University, Guangzhou, China.ORCID 0000-0001-7650-1459
Yiqiao Chin *Faculty of Medicine, International School, Jinan University, Guangzhou, China.ORCID 0000-0002-1261-7353
Shinning YuFaculty of Medicine, International School, Jinan University, Guangzhou, China.ORCID 0000-0002-6615-5684
Jian HuangMRC Centre for Environment and Health, Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0002-3931-5013
Casper J P ZhangSchool of Public Health, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Hong Kong.ORCID 0000-0003-1047-0287
Ke ZhuSchool of Medicine, Jinan University, Guangzhou, China.ORCID 0000-0001-6247-2108
Nima AzarakhshInternational School, Jinan University, Guangzhou, China.ORCID 0000-0002-4596-460X
Jie ShengCollege of Economics, Jinan University, Guangzhou, China.ORCID 0000-0001-5912-8410
Yi HeDepartment of Statistics, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0003-1096-6928
Pallavi JayavanthInternational School, Jinan University, Guangzhou, China.ORCID 0000-0001-5331-0553
Qian LiuNational Media Experimental Teaching Demonstration Center, School of Journalism and Communication, Jinan University, Guangzhou, China.ORCID 0000-0001-9070-2863
Babatunde O AkinwunmiBrigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, United States.ORCID 0000-0001-8316-1552
Wai-Kit MingSchool of Medicine, Jinan University, Guangzhou, China.ORCID 0000-0002-8846-7515

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe influence of meteorological factors on the transmission and spread of COVID-19 is of interest and has not been investigated.

objectiveThis study aimed to investigate the associations between meteorological factors and the daily number of new cases of COVID-19 in 9 Asian cities.

methodsPearson correlation and generalized additive modeling (GAM) were performed to assess the relationships between daily new COVID-19 cases and meteorological factors (daily average temperature and relative humidity) with the most updated data currently available.

resultsThe Pearson correlation showed that daily new confirmed cases of COVID-19 were more correlated with the average temperature than with relative humidity. Daily new confirmed cases were negatively correlated with the average temperature in Beijing (r=-0.565, P<.001), Shanghai (r=-0.47, P<.001), and Guangzhou (r=-0.53, P<.001). In Japan, however, a positive correlation was observed (r=0.416, P<.001). In most of the cities (Shanghai, Guangzhou, Hong Kong, Seoul, Tokyo, and Kuala Lumpur), GAM analysis showed the number of daily new confirmed cases to be positively associated with both average temperature and relative humidity, especially using lagged 3D modeling where the positive influence of temperature on daily new confirmed cases was discerned in 5 cities (exceptions: Beijing, Wuhan, Korea, and Malaysia). Moreover, the sensitivity analysis showed, by incorporating the city grade and public health measures into the model, that higher temperatures can increase daily new case numbers (beta=0.073, Z=11.594, P<.001) in the lagged 3-day model.

conclusionsThe findings suggest that increased temperature yield increases in daily new cases of COVID-19. Hence, large-scale public health measures and expanded regional research are still required until a vaccine becomes widely available and herd immunity is established.

Indexed as

TemperatureAsiaCitiesCOVID-19HumansHumidityanalysisAsiacoronavirusCOVID-19humiditymeteorological factorspublic healthtemperaturetime-seriestransmissionvirusweather

Identifiers

PMID33232262
PMCPMC7836910

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.