Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33231853›Full record

ArticleEnvironmental science and pollution research international2021

Spillover effect between carbon spot and futures market: evidence from EU ETS.

Jian Liu, Shuai Tang, Chun-Ping Chang

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Article in Environmental science and pollution research international, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

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0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
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1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

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3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Jian LiuSchool of Economics and Management, Changsha University of Science and Technology, Changsha, 410114, Hunan, People's Republic of China.
Shuai TangSchool of Economics and Management, Changsha University of Science and Technology, Changsha, 410114, Hunan, People's Republic of China.
Chun-Ping ChangShih Chien University Kaohsiung Campus, Kaohsiung, Taiwan. cpchang@g2.usc.edu.tw.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1782-4551

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The spillover effects of European Union Allowances (EUA) spot and futures markets are important for investors in order to understand the relevance and risk management of product prices. This paper uses non-linear methods of Granger causality to test the mean spillover relationship between the two markets and then analyzes volatility spillovers between the two by the non-linear TVP-VAR spillover index. The results show that (1) the non-linear Granger causality test better reflects the mean spillover relationship between EUA spot and futures; (2) there is a bidirectional non-linear mean spillover effect between EUA spot and futures prices for the European Union Emissions Trading Scheme (EU ETS) phases II and III; and (3) volatility spillovers, appearing in EUA spot and future markets in both phases, work increasingly strong over time and are vulnerable to financial crises and extreme events.

Indexed as

CarbonEuropean UnionForecastingVolatilizationCarbonEUAFuturesMean spilloverSpotVolatility spillover

Identifiers

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.