Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33230127›Full record

ArticleScientific data2020

North American historical monthly spatial climate dataset, 1901-2016.

Heather MacDonald, Daniel W McKenney, Pia Papadopol, Kevin Lawrence, John Pedlar, Michael F Hutchinson

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific data, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Heather MacDonaldNatural Resources Canada - Canadian Forest Service, Great Lakes Forestry Centre, Research Scientist, P6A 2E5, 1219 Queen Street East, Sault Ste. Marie, Ontario, Canada. heather.macdonald4@canada.ca.ORCID 0000-0002-9718-8390
Daniel W McKenneyNatural Resources Canada - Canadian Forest Service, Great Lakes Forestry Centre, Chief, Landscape Analysis and Applications, P6A 2E5 1219 Queen Street East, Sault Ste. Marie, Ontario, Canada.ORCID 0000-0002-8538-2145
Pia PapadopolNatural Resources Canada - Canadian Forest Service, Great Lakes Forestry Centre, Visiting Scientist, P6A 2E5 1219 Queen Street East, Sault Ste. Marie, Ontario, Canada.
Kevin LawrenceNatural Resources Canada - Canadian Forest Service, Great Lakes Forestry Centre, Geographical Information Systems Analyst, P6A 2E5 1219 Queen Street East, Sault Ste. Marie, Ontario, Canada.
John PedlarNatural Resources Canada - Canadian Forest Service, Great Lakes Forestry Centre, Forest Resource Biologist, P6A 2E5 1219 Queen Street East, Sault Ste. Marie, Ontario, Canada.
Michael F HutchinsonFenner School of Environment and Society, Australian National University, Canberra, Australia.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

We present historical monthly spatial models of temperature and precipitation generated from the North American dataset version "j" from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's (NOAA's) National Centres for Environmental Information (NCEI). Monthly values of minimum/maximum temperature and precipitation for 1901-2016 were modelled for continental United States and Canada. Compared to similar spatial models published in 2006 by Natural Resources Canada (NRCAN), the current models show less error. The Root Generalized Cross Validation (RTGCV), a measure of the predictive error of the surfaces akin to a spatially averaged standard predictive error estimate, averaged 0.94 °C for maximum temperature models, 1.3 °C for minimum temperature and 25.2% for total precipitation. Mean prediction errors for the temperature variables were less than 0.01 °C, using all stations. In comparison, precipitation models showed a dry bias (compared to recorded values) of 0.5 mm or 0.7% of the surface mean. Mean absolute predictive errors for all stations were 0.7 °C for maximum temperature, 1.02 °C for minimum temperature, and 13.3 mm (19.3% of the surface mean) for monthly precipitation.

Identifiers

PMID33230127
PMCPMC7683623

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.