Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33220218›Full record

ArticleThe Lancet. Global health2020

Travel time to health-care facilities, mode of transportation, and HIV elimination in Malawi: a geospatial modelling analysis.

Laurence Palk, Justin T Okano, Luckson Dullie, Sally Blower

Erratum issuedAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The Lancet. Global health, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 34 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
34citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

34 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Laurence PalkCenter for Biomedical Modeling, Semel Institute for Neuroscience and Human Behavior, David Geffen School of Medicine, University of California, Los Angeles, CA, USA.
Justin T OkanoCenter for Biomedical Modeling, Semel Institute for Neuroscience and Human Behavior, David Geffen School of Medicine, University of California, Los Angeles, CA, USA.
Luckson DulliePartners in Health, Neno, Malawi; School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Malawi College of Medicine, Blantyre, Malawi.
Sally BlowerCenter for Biomedical Modeling, Semel Institute for Neuroscience and Human Behavior, David Geffen School of Medicine, University of California, Los Angeles, CA, USA. Electronic address: sblower@mednet.ucla.edu.

Funding

Optimal Strategies for HIV Treatment and Prevention in Sub-Saharan AfricaR01AI116493 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA LOS ANGELES · PI BLOWER, SALLY MARGARET · 2015 to 2019
$2.7M
NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI116493
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundUNAIDS has prioritised Malawi and 21 other countries in sub-Saharan Africa for fast-tracking the end of their HIV epidemics. UNAIDS' elimination strategy requires achieving a treatment coverage of 90% by 2030. However, many individuals in the prioritised countries have to travel long distances to access HIV treatment and few have access to motorised transportation. Using data-based geospatial modelling, we investigated whether these two factors are barriers to achieving HIV elimination in Malawi and assessed the effect of increasing bicycle availability on expanding treatment coverage.

methodsWe built a data-based geospatial model that we used to estimate the minimum travel time needed to access treatment, for every person living with HIV in Malawi. We constructed our model by combining a spatial map of health-care facilities, a map that showed the number of HIV-infected individuals per km

findingsWe identified a quantitative relationship between the maximum achievable coverage of treatment and the minimum travel time to the nearest health-care facility. At 70% coverage, health-care facilities can be reached within approximately 45 min if driving, 65 min if bicycling, and 85 min if walking. Increasing coverage above 70% will become progressively more difficult. To reach 90% coverage, many HIV-infected individuals (who have yet to initiate treatment) will need to travel for almost twice as long as those already on treatment. Bicycling, rather than walking, in rural areas would substantially increase the maximum achievable coverage.

interpretationThe long travel times needed to reach health-care facilities coupled with little motorised transportation in rural areas are substantial barriers to reaching 90% coverage in Malawi. Increased bicycle availability could help eliminate HIV.

fundingUS National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases.

Indexed as

Spatio-Temporal AnalysisAdolescentAdultFemaleHealth FacilitiesHealth Services AccessibilityHIV InfectionsHumansMalawiMaleMiddle AgedRural PopulationTime FactorsTransportationTravelYoung Adult

Identifiers

PMID33220218
PMCPMC7738178

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.