ArticleScience (New York, N.Y.)2020
Divergent impacts of warming weather on wildlife disease risk across climates.
Article in Science (New York, N.Y.), 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 67 papers, 5 of them syntheses that pooled it.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
67 citing papers in PubMed, 5 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.
- Excess mortality of infected ectotherms induced by warming depends on pathogen kingdom and evolutionary history.PLoS biology · 2024Pooled it
- Pooled it
- Host-pathogen interactions under pressure: A review and meta-analysis of stress-mediated effects on disease dynamics.Ecology letters · 2023Pooled it
- Resetting our expectations for parasites and their effects on species interactions: a meta-analysis.Ecology letters · 2023Pooled it
- Evolution of thermal performance curves: A meta-analysis of selection experiments.Journal of evolutionary biology · 2023Pooled it
- Pathological and morphometric characterization of intestinal lesions associated with natural infection byInternational journal for parasitology. Parasites and wildlife · 2026Article
- Coinfections Dampen the Effects of Temperature on Host-Parasite Interactions.Ecology letters · 2026Article
- Article
- Virulent Parasites Emerge in Hosts With Rising Temperatures.Global change biology · 2026Article
- Two Secondary Introductions From a Shared Bridgehead Population Show Evidence of Divergent and Parallel Selection.Molecular ecology · 2026Article
- Bird trematodes in the era of rapid environmental change.Parasites & vectors · 2026Review
- Seasonal climatic variability shapes immune responses and infection risks in the common bluetail damselfly.Oecologia · 2026Article
- Marine heatwave and keystone predator loss drive broad-scale decline and hinder recovery of a rocky intertidal kelp.Ecological applications : a publication of the Ecological Society of America · 2026Article
- Adaptive Genetic Variation in Black-and-White Snub-Nosed Monkeys (Ecology and evolution · 2026Article
- Differential Susceptibility May Not Drive Chytridiomycosis Related Declines in Multi-Host Amphibian Communities.Ecology and evolution · 2026Article
- Climate sensitivity is widely but unevenly spread across zoonotic diseases.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025Article
- Eelgrass microbiome and disease dynamics under field and lab heat stress.Environmental microbiome · 2025Article
- Erysipelothrix rhusiopathiae clone reemergence in association with a multi-year mass mortality event in high Arctic muskoxen (Ovibos moschatus).Scientific reports · 2025Article
- Modeling Phenological and Physiological Responses to Climate Warming in a Hypothetical Migratory Songbird-Mosquito System.Ecology and evolution · 2025Article
- Estimating Environmental Transmission Risk From Host Movement Data.Ecology and evolution · 2025Article
7 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
5 authors.
Funding
Abstract
Disease outbreaks among wildlife have surged in recent decades alongside climate change, although it remains unclear how climate change alters disease dynamics across different geographic regions. We amassed a global, spatiotemporal dataset describing parasite prevalence across 7346 wildlife populations and 2021 host-parasite combinations, compiling local weather and climate records at each location. We found that hosts from cool and warm climates experienced increased disease risk at abnormally warm and cool temperatures, respectively, as predicted by the thermal mismatch hypothesis. This effect was greatest in ectothermic hosts and similar in terrestrial and freshwater systems. Projections based on climate change models indicate that ectothermic wildlife hosts from temperate and tropical zones may experience sharp increases and moderate reductions in disease risk, respectively, though the magnitude of these changes depends on parasite identity.
Indexed as
Identifiers
What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.