Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33212031›Full record

SynthesisThe Lancet. Global health2021

Estimates of the global burden of cervical cancer associated with HIV.

Dominik Stelzle, Luana F Tanaka, Kuan Ken Lee, Ahmadaye Ibrahim Khalil, Iacopo Baussano, Anoop S V Shah, David A McAllister, Sami L Gottlieb, Stefanie J Klug, Andrea S Winkler and 5 more

Erratum issued Registry-linked trialAbstract readMeta-AnalysisSystematic Review
In one paragraph

Synthesis in The Lancet. Global health, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. It is linked to trial NCT07678047 (Leveraging Project ECHO for Improved Cervical Cancer Screening in Ethiopia), which is not on this map. Cited by 516 papers, 8 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
516citing papers in PubMed, 8 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT07678047 naenrolling by invitationnot on this mapstarted 2026, after this paper: background citation

Leveraging Project ECHO for Improved Cervical Cancer Screening in Ethiopia: An Implementation Study of Integrated HPV Selfsampling in HIV Care Centers

TypeinterventionalSponsorAlbert Einstein College of MedicineRan2026 to 2029Enrolled60ConditionsCervical Carcinoma, Human Papilloma Virus (HPV)ArmsTICHILALECH ECHO
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

516 citing papers in PubMed, 8 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. PET-CT radiomics and artificial intelligence for predicting lymph node metastasis in cervical cancer: a systematic review and meta-analysis.Clinical & translational oncology : official publication of the Federation of Spanish Oncology Societies and of the National Cancer Institute of Mexico · 2026
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456 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

15 authors.

Dominik StelzleCenter for Global Health, Department of Neurology, Faculty of Medicine, Technical University of Munich, Munich, Germany; Chair of Epidemiology, Department of Sport and Health Sciences, Technical University of Munich, Munich, Germany.
Luana F TanakaChair of Epidemiology, Department of Sport and Health Sciences, Technical University of Munich, Munich, Germany.
Kuan Ken LeeBritish Heart Foundation Centre for Cardiovascular Science, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.
Ahmadaye Ibrahim KhalilInternational Agency for Research on Cancer, Lyon, France.
Iacopo BaussanoInternational Agency for Research on Cancer, Lyon, France.
Anoop S V ShahDepartment of Non-Communicable Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
David A McAllisterInstitute of Health and Wellbeing, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK.
Sami L GottliebDepartment of Sexual and Reproductive Health and Research, World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland.
Stefanie J KlugChair of Epidemiology, Department of Sport and Health Sciences, Technical University of Munich, Munich, Germany.
Andrea S WinklerCenter for Global Health, Department of Neurology, Faculty of Medicine, Technical University of Munich, Munich, Germany; Centre for Global Health, Institute of Health and Society, Faculty of Medicine, University of Oslo, Oslo, Norway.
Freddie BrayInternational Agency for Research on Cancer, Lyon, France.
Rachel BaggaleyDepartment of Global HIV, Hepatitis and STIs Programmes, World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland.
Gary M CliffordInternational Agency for Research on Cancer, Lyon, France.
Nathalie BroutetDepartment of Sexual and Reproductive Health and Research, World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland.
Shona DalalDepartment of Global HIV, Hepatitis and STIs Programmes, World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland. Electronic address: dalals@who.int.

Funding

British Heart Foundation FS/19/17/34172PEPFARWorld Health Organization 001
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundHIV enhances human papillomavirus (HPV)-induced carcinogenesis. However, the contribution of HIV to cervical cancer burden at a population level has not been quantified. We aimed to investigate cervical cancer risk among women living with HIV and to estimate the global cervical cancer burden associated with HIV.

methodsWe did a systematic literature search and meta-analysis of five databases (PubMed, Embase, Global Health [CABI.org], Web of Science, and Global Index Medicus) to identify studies analysing the association between HIV infection and cervical cancer. We estimated the pooled risk of cervical cancer among women living with HIV across four continents (Africa, Asia, Europe, and North America). The risk ratio (RR) was combined with country-specific UNAIDS estimates of HIV prevalence and GLOBOCAN 2018 estimates of cervical cancer to calculate the proportion of women living with HIV among women with cervical cancer and population attributable fractions and age-standardised incidence rates (ASIRs) of HIV-attributable cervical cancer.

findings24 studies met our inclusion criteria, which included 236 127 women living with HIV. The pooled risk of cervical cancer was increased in women living with HIV (RR 6·07, 95% CI 4·40-8·37). Globally, 5·8% (95% CI 4·6-7·3) of new cervical cancer cases in 2018 (33 000 new cases, 95% CI 26 000-42 000) were diagnosed in women living with HIV and 4·9% (95% CI 3·6-6·4) were attributable to HIV infection (28 000 new cases, 20 000-36 000). The most affected regions were southern Africa and eastern Africa. In southern Africa, 63·8% (95% CI 58·9-68·1) of women with cervical cancer (9200 new cases, 95% CI 8500-9800) were living with HIV, as were 27·4% (23·7-31·7) of women in eastern Africa (14 000 new cases, 12 000-17 000). ASIRs of HIV-attributable cervical cancer were more than 20 per 100 000 in six countries, all in southern Africa and eastern Africa.

interpretationWomen living with HIV have a significantly increased risk of cervical cancer. HPV vaccination and cervical cancer screening for women living with HIV are especially important for countries in southern Africa and eastern Africa, where a substantial HIV-attributable cervical cancer burden has added to the existing cervical cancer burden.

fundingWHO, US Agency for International Development, and US President's Emergency Plan for AIDS Relief.

Indexed as

Global Burden of DiseaseGlobal HealthAdolescentAdultAgedAged, 80 and overAlphapapillomavirusFemaleHIV InfectionsHumansMiddle AgedUterine Cervical NeoplasmsYoung Adult

Identifiers

PMID33212031
PMCPMC7815633

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.