Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33208278›Full record

ArticleThe Journal of heart and lung transplantation : the official publication of the International Society for Heart Transplantation2021

Risk factors for mortality in lung transplant recipients aged ≥65 years: A retrospective cohort study of 5,815 patients in the scientific registry of transplant recipients.

Christopher L Mosher, Jeremy M Weber, Courtney W Frankel, Megan L Neely, Scott M Palmer

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The Journal of heart and lung transplantation : the official publication of the International Society for Heart Transplantation, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 17 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
17citing papers in PubMed
4.7field-weighted citation impact, top 4% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

17 citing papers in PubMed, 41 citations in OpenAlex.

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  5. Review
  6. Article
  7. Machine Learning for 1-Year Mortality Prediction in Lung Transplant Recipients: ISHLT Registry.Transplant international : official journal of the European Society for Organ Transplantation · 2025
    Article
  8. Article
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  15. Article
  16. Disparities in heart and lung transplantation.Current opinion in organ transplantation · 2021
    Review
  17. Lung transplantation for interstitial lung disease.European respiratory review : an official journal of the European Respiratory Society · 2021
    Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

Christopher L MosherDepartment of Medicine, Division of Pulmonary, Allergy, and Critical Care Medicine, Duke University Medical Center, Durham, North Carolina; Duke Clinical Research Institute, Durham, North Carolina. Electronic address: christopher.mosher@duke.edu.
Jeremy M WeberDepartment of Biostatistics & Bioinformatics, Duke University School of Medicine, Durham, North Carolina.
Courtney W FrankelDepartment of Medicine, Division of Pulmonary, Allergy, and Critical Care Medicine, Duke University Medical Center, Durham, North Carolina.
Megan L NeelyDuke Clinical Research Institute, Durham, North Carolina; Department of Biostatistics & Bioinformatics, Duke University School of Medicine, Durham, North Carolina.
Scott M PalmerDepartment of Medicine, Division of Pulmonary, Allergy, and Critical Care Medicine, Duke University Medical Center, Durham, North Carolina; Duke Clinical Research Institute, Durham, North Carolina.
Clinical Research Institute · USDuke Medical Center · USDuke University · US

Funding

Support for QA/QC for Prior Approval ProcessUL1TR002553 · NCATS · DUKE UNIVERSITY · PI LI, JENNIFER S, MCNAMARA, JAMES O. · 2018 to 2023
$58.5M
INTERDISCIPLINARY TRAINING PROGRAM IN LUNG DISEASET32HL007538 · NHLBI · DUKE UNIVERSITY · PI LEE, PATTY J, PALMER, SCOTT M · 1985 to 2019
$7.2M
NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR002553NHLBI NIH HHS T32 HL007538
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundLung transplantation is increasingly performed in recipients aged ≥65 years. However, the risk factors for mortality specific to this population have not been well studied. In lung transplant recipients aged ≥65 years, we sought to determine post-transplant survival and clinical factors associated with post-transplant mortality.

methodsWe investigated 5,815 adult lung transplants recipients aged ≥65 years in the Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients. Mortality was defined as a composite of recipient death or retransplantation. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to estimate the median time to mortality. Univariable and multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to examine the association between time to mortality and 23 donor, recipient, or center characteristics.

resultsMedian survival in lung transplant recipients aged ≥65 years was 4.41 years (95% CI: 4.21-4.60 years) and significantly worsened by increasing age strata. In the multivariable model, increasing recipient age strata, creatinine level, bilirubin level, hospitalization at the time of transplantation, single lung transplant operation, steroid use at the time of transplantation, donor diabetes, and cytomegalovirus mismatch were independently associated with increased mortality.

conclusionsAmong the 8 risk factors we identified, 5 factors are readily available, which can be used to optimize post-transplant survival by informing risk during candidate selection of patients aged ≥65 years. Furthermore, bilateral lung transplantation may confer improved survival in comparison with single lung transplantation. Our results support that after careful consideration of risk factors, lung transplantation can provide life-extending benefits in individuals aged ≥65 years.

Indexed as

RegistriesTissue DonorsAgedAge FactorsFemaleGraft SurvivalHumansLung TransplantationMaleNorth CarolinaRetrospective StudiesRisk FactorsSurvival RateTime FactorsTransplant Recipientslung transplantolder adultrestrictive lung diseaserisk factorsurvival

Identifiers

PMID33208278
PMCPMC7770611
OpenAlexW3097660541

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.