Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33205682›Full record

Trial reportMultiple sclerosis (Houndmills, Basingstoke, England)2021

Siponimod: Disentangling disability and relapses in secondary progressive multiple sclerosis.

Bruce Ac Cree, Baldur Magnusson, Nicolas Rouyrre, Robert J Fox, Gavin Giovannoni, Patrick Vermersch, Amit Bar-Or, Ralf Gold, Daniela Piani Meier, Göril Karlsson and 4 more

Open access · hybridAbstract readClinical Trial, Phase IIIRandomized Controlled Trial
In one paragraph

Trial report in Multiple sclerosis (Houndmills, Basingstoke, England), 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
8citing papers in PubMed
2.2field-weighted citation impact, top 12% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

8 citing papers in PubMed, 21 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

14 authors at 8 institutions in 6 countries.

Bruce Ac CreeDepartment of Neurology, UCSF Weill Institute for Neurosciences, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, USA.
Baldur MagnussonNovartis Pharma AG, Basel, Switzerland.
Nicolas RouyrreNovartis Pharma AG, Basel, Switzerland.
Robert J FoxMellen Center for Multiple Sclerosis Treatment and Research, Neurological Institute, Cleveland Clinic, Cleveland, OH, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-4263-3717
Gavin GiovannoniBlizard Institute, Barts and The London School of Medicine and Dentistry, Queen Mary University of London, London, UK.
Patrick VermerschUniversity of Lille, CHU Lille, LIRIC-INSERM U995, Lille, France.
Amit Bar-OrCenter for Neuroinflammation and Experimental Therapeutics and Multiple Sclerosis Division, Department of Neurology, Perelman School of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA, USA/Neuroimmunology Unit, Montreal Neurological Institute and Hospital, McGill University, Montreal, QC, Canada.
Ralf GoldDepartment of Neurology, St. Josef-Hospital, Ruhr-University Bochum, Bochum, Germany.
Daniela Piani MeierNovartis Pharma AG, Basel, Switzerland.
Göril KarlssonNovartis Pharma AG, Basel, Switzerland.
Davorka TomicNovartis Pharma AG, Basel, Switzerland.
Christian WolfLycalis sprl, Brussels, Belgium.ORCID 0000-0002-4683-0507
Frank DahlkeNovartis Pharma AG, Basel, Switzerland.
Ludwig KapposNeurologic Clinic and Policlinic, Departments of Medicine, Clinical Research, Biomedicine and Biomedical Engineering, University Hospital, University of Basel, Basel, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0003-4175-5509
Novartis (Switzerland) · CHCleveland Clinic · USInserm · FRMontreal Neurological Institute and Hospital · CAQueen Mary University of London · GBSt. Josef-Hospital · DEUniversity of Basel · CHUniversity of California, San Francisco · US

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundIn multiple sclerosis, impact of treatment on disability progression can be confounded if treatment also reduces relapses.

objectiveTo distinguish siponimod's direct effects on disability progression from those on relapses in the EXPAND phase 3 trial.

methodsThree estimands, one based on principal stratum and two on hypothetical scenarios (no relapses, or equal relapses in both treatment arms), were defined to determine the extent to which siponimod's effects on 3- and 6-month confirmed disability progression were independent of on-study relapses.

resultsPrincipal stratum analysis estimated that siponimod reduced the risk of 3- and 6-month confirmed disability progression by 14%-20% and 29%-33%, respectively, compared with placebo in non-relapsing patients. In the hypothetical scenarios, risk reductions independent of relapses were 14%-18% and 23% for 3- and 6-month confirmed disability progression, respectively.

conclusionBy controlling the confounding impact of on-study relapses on confirmed disability progression, these statistical approaches provide a methodological framework to assess treatment effects on disability progression in relapsing and non-relapsing patients. The analyses support that siponimod may be useful for treating secondary progressive multiple sclerosis in patients with or without relapses.

Indexed as

Multiple Sclerosis, Chronic ProgressiveAzetidinesBenzyl CompoundsDisease ProgressionHumansRecurrenceAzetidinesBenzyl CompoundssiponimodMultiple sclerosisprogressionprogressive multiple sclerosisrelapsessecondary progressive multiple sclerosissiponimod

Identifiers

PMID33205682
PMCPMC8414818
OpenAlexW3100414769

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.