Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33200572›Full record

ArticlePharmacology research & perspectives2020

Development of a machine learning algorithm for early detection of opioid use disorder.

Zvi Segal, Kira Radinsky, Guy Elad, Gal Marom, Moran Beladev, Maor Lewis, Bar Ehrenberg, Plia Gillis, Liat Korn, Gideon Koren

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Pharmacology research & perspectives, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 19 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
19citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
3.4field-weighted citation impact, top 7% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

19 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 38 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Pooled it
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Detecting Opioid Use Disorder in Health Claims Data With Positive Unlabeled Learning.IEEE journal of biomedical and health informatics · 2025
    Article
  8. Article
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  10. Review
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  12. Machine Learned Classification of Ligand Intrinsic Activities at HumanbioRxiv : the preprint server for biology · 2024
    Article
  13. Observational
  14. Individualized Prospective Prediction of Opioid Use Disorder.Canadian journal of psychiatry. Revue canadienne de psychiatrie · 2023
    Article
  15. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Zvi SegalDiagnostic Robotics Inc., Ariel University, Aviv, Israel.
Kira RadinskyDiagnostic Robotics Inc., Ariel University, Aviv, Israel.
Guy EladDiagnostic Robotics Inc., Ariel University, Aviv, Israel.
Gal MaromDiagnostic Robotics Inc., Ariel University, Aviv, Israel.
Moran BeladevDiagnostic Robotics Inc., Ariel University, Aviv, Israel.
Maor LewisDiagnostic Robotics Inc., Ariel University, Aviv, Israel.
Bar EhrenbergDiagnostic Robotics Inc., Ariel University, Aviv, Israel.
Plia GillisDiagnostic Robotics Inc., Ariel University, Aviv, Israel.
Liat KornFaculty of Health Sciences, Ariel University, Aviv, Israel.
Gideon KorenAdelson Faculty of Medicine, Ariel University, Aviv, Israel.ORCID 0000-0002-9234-0875
Ariel University · IL

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundOpioid use disorder (OUD) affects an estimated 16 million people worldwide. The diagnosis of OUD is commonly delayed or missed altogether. We aimed to test the utility of machine learning in creating a prediction model and algorithm for early diagnosis of OUD. SUBJECTS AND

methodsWe analyzed data gathered in a commercial claim database from January 1, 2006, to December 31, 2018 of 10 million medical insurance claims from 550 000 patient records. We compiled 436 predictor candidates, divided to six feature groups - demographics, chronic conditions, diagnosis and procedures features, medication features, medical costs, and episode counts. We employed the Word2Vec algorithm and the Gradient Boosting trees algorithm for the analysis.

resultsThe c-statistic for the model was 0.959, with a sensitivity of 0.85 and specificity of 0.882. Positive Predictive Value (PPV) was 0.362 and Negative Predictive Value (NPV) was 0.998. Significant differences between positive OUD- and negative OUD- controls were in the mean annual amount of opioid use days, number of overlaps in opioid prescriptions per year, mean annual opioid prescriptions, and annual benzodiazepine and muscle relaxant prescriptions. Notable differences were the count of intervertebral disc disorder-related complaints per year, post laminectomy syndrome diagnosed per year, and pain disorders diagnosis per year. Significant differences were also found in the episodes and costs categories.

conclusionsThe new algorithm offers a mean 14.4 months reduction in time to diagnosis of OUD, at potential saving in further morbidity, medical cost, addictions and mortality.

Indexed as

AlgorithmsAdultAnalgesics, OpioidEarly DiagnosisFemaleHumansInsurance Claim ReportingMachine LearningMaleMiddle AgedOpioid-Related DisordersAnalgesics, Opioidalgorithmbig data analyticsdiagnosismachine learningOpioid use disorder

Identifiers

PMID33200572
PMCPMC7670130
OpenAlexW3106085113

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.