Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33199592›Full record

ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2020

The social patterning of autism diagnoses reversed in California between 1992 and 2018.

Alix S Winter, Christine Fountain, Keely Cheslack-Postava, Peter S Bearman

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 16 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
16citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

16 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Demographic Correlates of Autism: How Do Associations Compare Between Diagnosis and a Quantitative Trait Measure?Autism research : official journal of the International Society for Autism Research · 2025
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  9. Review
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  13. Prevalence of autism spectrum disorder in a large, diverse metropolitan area: Variation by sociodemographic factors.Autism research : official journal of the International Society for Autism Research · 2022
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Alix S WinterInterdisciplinary Center for Innovative Theory and Empirics, Columbia University, New York, NY 10027.ORCID 0000-0001-9719-8073
Christine FountainDepartment of Sociology & Anthropology, Fordham University at Lincoln Center, New York, NY 10023.
Keely Cheslack-PostavaNew York State Psychiatric Institute, Columbia University, New York, NY 10032.
Peter S BearmanInterdisciplinary Center for Innovative Theory and Empirics, Columbia University, New York, NY 10027; psb17@columbia.edu.

Funding

Assisted Reproductive Technologies and Risk of Autism and Other Developmental DisabilitiesR01HD091205 · NICHD · COLUMBIA UNIV NEW YORK MORNINGSIDE · PI BEARMAN, PETER SHAWN, FOUNTAIN, CHRISTINE · 2018 to 2020
$1.5M
NICHD NIH HHS R01 HD091205
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

As rates of autism diagnosis increased dramatically over the past number of decades, prevalence rates were generally highest among Whites and among those of higher socioeconomic status (SES). Using a unique, population-level dataset, we find that rates of autism diagnosis continued to be on the rise in recent years, but who is diagnosed changed during the study period. Our data consist of birth records of all 13,272,573 children born in the state of California in 1992 through 2016 linked to autism caseload records for January 1992 through November 2019 from California's Department of Developmental Services. California's diagnosed autism incidence rate rose from 0.49 per 1,000 3-6 y olds in 1998 to 3.49 per 1,000 3-6 y olds in 2018, a 612% increase. However, diagnosed incidence rates did not rise uniformly across sociodemographic groups. By 2018, children of Black and Asian mothers were diagnosed at higher rates than children of non-Hispanic White mothers. Furthermore, among children of non-Hispanic White and Asian mothers, children of lower SES were diagnosed at higher rates than children of higher SES. These changes align with sociological theories of health disparities and contain important clues for more fully understanding the autism epidemic.

Indexed as

Autistic DisorderCaliforniaChildChild, PreschoolHumansIncidencePrevalenceautismepidemiologyprevalencesocio-economic status

Identifiers

PMID33199592
PMCPMC7720167

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.