Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33199438›Full record

ArticleCancer epidemiology, biomarkers & prevention : a publication of the American Association for Cancer Research, cosponsored by the American Society of Preventive Oncology2021

The Impact of Liver Transplantation on Hepatocellular Carcinoma Mortality in the United States.

Parag Mahale, Meredith S Shiels, Charles F Lynch, Srinath Chinnakotla, Linda L Wong, Brenda Y Hernandez, Karen S Pawlish, Jie Li, Georgetta Alverson, Maria J Schymura and 1 more

Open access · bronzeAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Cancer epidemiology, biomarkers & prevention : a publication of the American Association for Cancer Research, cosponsored by the American Society of Preventive Oncology, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
0.5field-weighted citation impact, top 34% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed, 8 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Hepatocellular Carcinoma Survival in People With and Without HIV in the United States, 2001-2019.Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2026
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors at 8 institutions in 1 country.

Parag MahaleInfections and Immunoepidemiology Branch, Division of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, Rockville, Maryland. parag.mahale@maine.gov shielsms@mail.nih.gov.
Meredith S ShielsInfections and Immunoepidemiology Branch, Division of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, Rockville, Maryland. parag.mahale@maine.gov shielsms@mail.nih.gov.ORCID 0000-0001-8390-6091
Charles F LynchDepartment of Epidemiology, The University of Iowa College of Public Health, Iowa City, Iowa.
Srinath ChinnakotlaDepartment of Surgery, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, Minnesota.
Linda L WongUniversity of Hawai'i Cancer Center, Honolulu, Hawaii.ORCID 0000-0003-3143-5384
Brenda Y HernandezPopulation Sciences in the Pacific Program, University of Hawai'i Cancer Center, Honolulu, Hawaii.
Karen S PawlishCancer Epidemiology Services, New Jersey Department of Health, Trenton, New Jersey.
Jie LiCancer Epidemiology Services, New Jersey Department of Health, Trenton, New Jersey.
Georgetta AlversonMichigan Cancer Surveillance Program, Michigan Department of Health and Human Services, Lansing, Michigan.ORCID 0000-0002-4090-0172
Maria J SchymuraBureau of Cancer Epidemiology, New York State Department of Health, Albany, New York.
Eric A EngelsInfections and Immunoepidemiology Branch, Division of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, Rockville, Maryland.
National Cancer Institute · USNew Jersey Department of Health · USCancer Center of Hawaii · USHawaii Pacific University · USMichigan Department of Health and Human Services · USNew York State Department of Health · USUniversity of Iowa · USUniversity of Minnesota · US

Funding

NATIONAL CANCER PREVENTION AND CONTROL PROGRAMU58DP000824 · DP · TEXAS STATE DEPT OF HEALTH SERVICES · PI DELGADO, EVELYN · 2007 to 2011
$44.3M
Category A - Communities Putting Prevention to WorkU58DP000848 · DP · COLORADO STATE DEPT/PUB HLTH & ENVIRONMT · PI JACOBELLIS, JILLIAN · 2007 to 2011
$25.9M
NATIONAL CANCER PREVENTION & CONTROL PROGRAM - ILLINOISU58DP003883 · DP · ILLINOIS STATE DEPT OF PUBLIC HEALTH · PI MOODY, CONNY · 2012 to 2014
$22.6M
CALIFORNIA'S PARTICIPATION IN THE NATIONAL CANCER PREVENTION AND CONTRO PROGRAMU58DP000807 · DP · PUBLIC HEALTH INSTITUTE · PI SNIPES, KURT P · 2007 to 2011
$22.5M
GEORGIA COMPREHENSIVE CANCER CONTROL PROGRAMU58DP003875 · DP · GEORGIA DIVISION OF PUBLIC HEALTH · PI O'CONNOR, JEAN CATHERINE · 2012 to 2014
$15.9M
Intramural NIH HHS Z99 CA999999NCCDPHP CDC HHS U58 DP000807NCCDPHP CDC HHS U58 DP000824NCCDPHP CDC HHS U58 DP000848NCCDPHP CDC HHS U58 DP003875NCCDPHP CDC HHS U58 DP003883NCI NIH HHS HHSN261201000034CNCI NIH HHS HHSN261201000035CNCI NIH HHS HHSN261201000035INCI NIH HHS HHSN261201000036CNCI NIH HHS HHSN261201300021CNCI NIH HHS HHSN261201800002BNCI NIH HHS HHSN261201800002CNCI NIH HHS HHSN261201800005CNCI NIH HHS N01 PC035143
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundHepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) carries a poor prognosis. Liver transplantation (LT) is potentially curative for localized HCC. We evaluated the impact of LT on U.S. general population HCC-specific mortality rates.

methodsThe Transplant Cancer Match Study links the U.S. transplant registry with 17 cancer registries. We calculated age-standardized incidence (1987-2017) and incidence-based mortality (IBM) rates (1991-2017) for adult HCCs. We partitioned population-level IBM rates by cancer stage and calculated counterfactual IBM rates assuming transplanted cases had not received a transplant.

resultsAmong 129,487 HCC cases, 45.9% had localized cancer. HCC incidence increased on average 4.0% annually [95% confidence interval (CI) = 3.6-4.5]. IBM also increased for HCC overall (2.9% annually; 95% CI = 1.7-4.2) and specifically for localized stage HCC (4.8% annually; 95% CI = 4.0-5.5). The proportion of HCC-related transplants jumped sharply from 6.7% (2001) to 18.0% (2002), and further increased to 40.0% (2017). HCC-specific mortality declined among both nontransplanted and transplanted cases over time. In the absence of transplants, IBM for localized HCC would have increased at 5.3% instead of 4.8% annually.

conclusionsLT has provided survival benefit to patients with localized HCC. However, diagnosis of many cases at advanced stages, limited availability of donor livers, and improved mortality for patients without transplants have limited the impact of transplantation on general population HCC-specific mortality rates. IMPACT: Although LT rates continue to rise, better screening and treatment modalities are needed to halt the rising HCC mortality rates in the United States.

Indexed as

AdolescentAdultAgedCarcinoma, HepatocellularFemaleHumansIncidenceLiver NeoplasmsLiver TransplantationMaleMiddle AgedPrognosisSurvival AnalysisUnited StatesYoung Adult

Identifiers

PMID33199438
PMCPMC8052263
OpenAlexW3098674101

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.