Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33197278›Full record

Observational studyJournal of the American Geriatrics Society2021

Predicting In-Hospital Mortality in COVID-19 Older Patients with Specifically Developed Scores.

Marcello Covino, Giuseppe De Matteis, Maria Livia Burzo, Andrea Russo, Evelina Forte, Annamaria Carnicelli, Andrea Piccioni, Benedetta Simeoni, Antonio Gasbarrini, Francesco Franceschi and 2 more

Abstract readObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in Journal of the American Geriatrics Society, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 45 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
45citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

45 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Article
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  9. Observational
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  11. Article
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  15. Article
  16. Observational
  17. Article
  18. The Usefulness of the COVID-GRAM Score in Predicting the Outcomes of Study Population with COVID-19.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022
    Article
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors.

Marcello CovinoEmergency Department, Fondazione Policlinico Universitario A. Gemelli IRCCS, Rome, Italy.
Giuseppe De MatteisDepartment of Internal Medicine, Fondazione Policlinico Universitario A. Gemelli IRCCS, Rome, Italy.ORCID 0000-0003-2982-3951
Maria Livia BurzoDepartment of Internal Medicine, Fondazione Policlinico Universitario A. Gemelli IRCCS, Rome, Italy.
Andrea RussoGeriatrics Department, Fondazione Policlinico Universitario A. Gemelli IRCCS, Rome, Italy.
Evelina ForteEmergency Department, Fondazione Policlinico Universitario A. Gemelli IRCCS, Rome, Italy.
Annamaria CarnicelliEmergency Department, Fondazione Policlinico Universitario A. Gemelli IRCCS, Rome, Italy.
Andrea PiccioniEmergency Department, Fondazione Policlinico Universitario A. Gemelli IRCCS, Rome, Italy.
Benedetta SimeoniEmergency Department, Fondazione Policlinico Universitario A. Gemelli IRCCS, Rome, Italy.
Antonio GasbarriniDepartment of Internal Medicine and Gastroenterology, Fondazione Policlinico Universitario A. Gemelli IRCCS, Rome, Italy.
Francesco FranceschiEmergency Department, Fondazione Policlinico Universitario A. Gemelli IRCCS, Rome, Italy.
Claudio SandroniDepartment of Anesthesiology and Intensive Care Medicine, Fondazione Policlinico Universitario A. Gemelli IRCCS, Rome, Italy.
GEMELLI AGAINST COVID-19 Group

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

BACKGROUND/

objectivesSeveral scoring systems have been specifically developed for risk stratification in COVID-19 patients.

designWe compared, in a cohort of confirmed COVID-19 older patients, three specifically developed scores with a previously established early warning score. Main endpoint was all causes in-hospital death.

settingThis is a single-center, retrospective observational study, conducted in the Emergency Department (ED) of an urban teaching hospital, referral center for COVID-19.

participantsWe reviewed the clinical records of the confirmed COVID-19 patients aged 60 years or more consecutively admitted to our ED over a 6-week period (March 1st to April 15th, 2020). A total of 210 patients, aged between 60 and 98 years were included in the study cohort. MEASUREMENTS: International Severe Acute Respiratory Infection Consortium Clinical Characterization Protocol-Coronavirus Clinical Characterization Consortium (ISARIC-4C) score, COVID-GRAM Critical Illness Risk Score (COVID-GRAM), quick COVID-19 Severity Index (qCSI), National Early Warning Score (NEWS).

resultsMedian age was 74 (67-82) and 133 (63.3%) were males. Globally, 42 patients (20.0%) deceased. All the score evaluated showed a fairly good predictive value with respect to in-hospital death. The ISARIC-4C score had the highest area under ROC curve (AUROC) 0.799 (0.738-0.851), followed by the COVID-GRAM 0.785 (0.723-0.838), NEWS 0.764 (0.700-0.819), and qCSI 0.749 (0.685-0.806). However, these differences were not statistical significant.

conclusionAmong the evaluated scores, the ISARIC-4C and the COVID-GRAM, calculated at ED admission, had the best performance, although the qCSI had similar efficacy by evaluating only three items. However, the NEWS, already widely validated in clinical practice, had a similar performance and could be appropriate for older patients with COVID-19.

Indexed as

Hospital MortalitySeverity of Illness IndexAgedCohort StudiesCOVID-19Critical IllnessEmergency Service, HospitalFemaleHumansItalyMaleMiddle AgedRetrospective StudiesCOVID-19COVID-GRAMISARIC-4CNEWSqCSI

Identifiers

PMID33197278
PMCPMC7753731

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.