ArticleFrontiers in neurology2020
Validation of 10-Year Stroke Prediction Scores in a Community-Based Cohort of Chinese Older Adults.
Article in Frontiers in neurology, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
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Who cites it
6 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 8 citations in OpenAlex.
- A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of the Predictive Power of China-PAR Against Cardiovascular Disease.Clinical medicine & research · 2024Pooled it
- Prediction models for incident stroke in the community: a systematic review and meta-analysis of predictive performance.European heart journal. Digital health · 2026Article
- Validation and Refinement of Scores to Predict Stroke Risk: Prospective Cohort Study.JMIR public health and surveillance · 2025Article
- Predicting new-onset stroke with machine learning: development of a model integrating traditional Chinese and western medicine.Frontiers in pharmacology · 2025Article
- The predictive accuracy of coronary heart disease risk prediction models in rural Northwestern China.Preventive medicine reports · 2023Article
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Authors and funding
10 authors at 5 institutions in 1 country.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
A stroke prediction model based on the Prediction for Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease Risk in China (China-PAR) project was developed. We compared its predictive ability with the revised Framingham Stroke Risk Score (R-FSRS) for 5-year stroke incidence in a community cohort of Chinese adults, namely the Beijing Longitudinal Study of Aging (BLSA). Calibration, discrimination, and recalibration were used to compare the predictive ability between the two prediction models. Category-less net reclassification improvement (NRI) and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) values were also assessed. During a mean follow-up duration of 5.1 years, 106 incidents of fatal or non-fatal strokes occurred among 1,203 participants aged 55-84 years. The R-FSRS applied to our cohort underestimated the 5-year risk for stroke in men and women. China-PAR performed better than the R-FSRS in terms of calibration (men, R-FSRS: χ
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