ArticleNature communications2020
Modelling transmission and control of the COVID-19 pandemic in Australia.
Article in Nature communications, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 229 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
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Who cites it
229 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 438 citations in OpenAlex.
- Do school closures and school reopenings affect community transmission of COVID-19? A systematic review of observational studies.BMJ open · 2021Pooled it
- A real-time forecasting framework for emerging infectious diseases affecting animal populations.PLoS computational biology · 2026Article
- Digital Inequality and Internet Self-Efficacy in Adults With Intellectual Disability: Motivational, Demographic and Contextual Predictors of Online Participation.Journal of applied research in intellectual disabilities : JARID · 2026Article
- The interplay between social connection and compliance with COVID-19 preventive measures.European journal of public health · 2026Article
- A compartmental model of variant coexistence, dynamics and dominance in infectious diseases: Case for SARS-CoV-2 in Abu Dhabi.Infectious Disease Modelling · 2026Article
- Impact of opinion dynamics on recurrent pandemic waves: balancing risk aversion and peer pressure.Interface focus · 2025Article
- The interaction between population age structure and policy interventions on the spread of COVID-19.Infectious Disease Modelling · 2025Article
- Multi-scale phylodynamic modelling of rapid punctuated pathogen evolution.PLoS computational biology · 2025Article
- An agent-based model of COVID- 19 in the food industry for assessing public health and economic impacts of infection control strategies.Scientific reports · 2025Article
- Kalman Filter-Based Epidemiological Model for Post-COVID-19 Era Surveillance and Prediction.Sensors (Basel, Switzerland) · 2025Article
- A global survey on the associations between the lockdown group, free memory recall and emotional responses during the COVID-19 lockdown.Scientific reports · 2025Article
- Estimating the impact of school closures on the COVID-19 dynamics in 74 countries: A modelling analysis.PLoS medicine · 2025Article
- Provision of Public Dental Services During the COVID-19 Pandemic: Experiences of Dental Staff in Greater Western Sydney, Australia.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2024Article
- Designing a model to estimate the burden of COVID-19 in Iran.BMC public health · 2024Article
- The relationship between compartment models and their stochastic counterparts: A comparative study with examples of the COVID-19 epidemic modeling.Journal of biomedical research · 2024Article
- Forecast of peak infection and estimate of excess deaths in COVID-19 transmission and prevalence in Taiyuan City, 2022 to 2023.Infectious Disease Modelling · 2024Article
- Ethical frameworks should be applied to computational modelling of infectious disease interventions.PLoS computational biology · 2024Article
- Article
- Measuring unequal distribution of pandemic severity across census years, variants of concern and interventions.Population health metrics · 2023Article
- Prediction of Alzheimer's in People with Coronavirus Using Machine Learning.Iranian journal of public health · 2023Article
169 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
5 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
There is a continuing debate on relative benefits of various mitigation and suppression strategies aimed to control the spread of COVID-19. Here we report the results of agent-based modelling using a fine-grained computational simulation of the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic in Australia. This model is calibrated to match key characteristics of COVID-19 transmission. An important calibration outcome is the age-dependent fraction of symptomatic cases, with this fraction for children found to be one-fifth of such fraction for adults. We apply the model to compare several intervention strategies, including restrictions on international air travel, case isolation, home quarantine, social distancing with varying levels of compliance, and school closures. School closures are not found to bring decisive benefits unless coupled with high level of social distancing compliance. We report several trade-offs, and an important transition across the levels of social distancing compliance, in the range between 70% and 80% levels, with compliance at the 90% level found to control the disease within 13-14 weeks, when coupled with effective case isolation and international travel restrictions.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.