Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33170741›Full record

ArticleEnvironmental health perspectives2020

Guidelines for Modeling and Reporting Health Effects of Climate Change Mitigation Actions.

Jeremy J Hess, Nikhil Ranadive, Chris Boyer, Lukasz Aleksandrowicz, Susan C Anenberg, Kristin Aunan, Kristine Belesova, Michelle L Bell, Sam Bickersteth, Kathryn Bowen and 56 more

Abstract readComment
PubMed Full text at PMC Publisher
In one paragraph

Article in Environmental health perspectives, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 26 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
26citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

26 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Pooled it
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Review
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Showcasing advances and building community in modeling for sustainability.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2024
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  11. Substantially reducing global PMNature communications · 2024
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  12. Equity and modeling in sustainability science: Examples and opportunities throughout the process.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2024
    Article
  13. Review
  14. Progress in modeling dynamic systems for sustainable development.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2023
    Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Accountability for carbon emissions and health equity.Bulletin of the World Health Organization · 2023
    Article
  18. Article
  19. Environmental health perspectives · 2022
    Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

66 authors.

Jeremy J HessCenter for Health and the Global Environment, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, USA.
Nikhil RanadiveEmory University School of Medicine, Atlanta, Georgia, USA.
Chris BoyerCenter for Health and the Global Environment, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, USA.
Lukasz AleksandrowiczOur Planet, Our Health, Wellcome Trust, London, UK.
Susan C AnenbergMilken Institute School of Public Health, George Washington University, Washington, District of Columbia, USA.
Kristin AunanCICERO Center for International Climate Research, Oslo, Norway.
Kristine BelesovaDepartment of Public Health, Environments, and Society, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
Michelle L BellSchool of Forestry and Environmental Studies, Yale University, New Haven, Connecticut, USA.
Sam BickerstethRockefeller Foundation Economic Council on Planetary Health, Oxford, UK.
Kathryn BowenRitsumeikan University, Kusatsu, Japan.
Marci BurdenCenter for Health and the Global Environment, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, USA.
Diarmid Campbell-LendrumDepartment of Environment Climate Change and Health, World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland.
Elizabeth CarltonDepartment of Environmental and Occupational Health, Colorado School of Public Health, University of Colorado, Aurora, Colorado, USA.
Guéladio CisséDepartment of Epidemiology and Public Health, Swiss Tropical and Public Health Institute, Basel, Switzerland.
Francois CohenSmith School for Enterprise and the Environment and Institute for New Economic Thinking at the Oxford Martin School, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
Hancheng DaiLaboratory of Energy & Environmental Economics and Policy (LEEEP), College of Environmental Sciences and Engineering, Peking University, Beijing, China.
Alan David DangourCentre on Climate Change and Planetary Health, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
Purnamita DasguptaEnvironmental and Resource Economics Unit, Institute of Economic Growth, Delhi, India.
Howard FrumkinOur Planet, Our Health, Wellcome Trust, London, UK.
Peng GongDepartment of Earth System Science, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China.
Robert J GouldCenter for Climate Change Communication, George Mason University, Fairfax, Virginia, USA.
Andy HainesCentre on Climate Change and Planetary Health, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
Simon HalesDepartment of Public Health, University of Otago, Wellington, New Zealand.
Ian HamiltonUCL Energy Institute, University College London, London, UK.
Tomoko HasegawaNational Institute for Environmental Studies, Tsukuba, Japan.
Masahiro HashizumeInstitute of Tropical Medicine, Nagasaki University, Nagasaki, Japan.
Yasushi HondaFaculty of Health and Sport Sciences, University of Tsukuba, Tsukuba, Japan.
Daniel E HortonDepartment of Earth and Planetary Sciences, Northwestern University, Evanston, Illinois, USA.
Alexandra KarambelasLamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Columbia University, Palisades, New York USA.
Ho KimDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Seoul National University, Seoul, South Korea.
Satbyul Estella KimCenter for Climate Change Adaptation, National Institute for Environmental Studies, Tsukuba, Japan.
Patrick L KinneyDepartment of Environmental Health, Boston University School of Public Health, Boston, USA.
Inza KoneCentre Suisse de Recherches Scientifiques en Côte d'Ivoire, Abidjan, Côte d'Ivoire.
Kim KnowltonNatural Resources Defense Council, New York, New York, USA.
Jos LelieveldMax Planck Institute for Chemistry, Dept. of Atmospheric Chemistry, Mainz, Germany.
Vijay S LimayeNatural Resources Defense Council, New York, New York, USA.
Qiyong LiuNational Institute for Communicable Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, China.
Lina MadaniyaziSchool of Tropical Medicine and Global Health, Nagasaki University, Nagasaki, Japan.
Micaela Elvira MartinezDepartment of Environmental Health Sciences, Mailman School of Public Health, Columbia University, New York, New York, USA.
Denise L MauzerallWoodrow Wilson School of Public and International Affairs and the Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Princeton University, Princeton, New Jersey, USA.
James MilnerDepartment of Public Health, Environments, and Society, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
Tara NevilleWorld Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland.
Mark NieuwenhuijsenISGlobal, Centre for Research in Environmental Epidemiology (CREAL), Barcelona, Spain.
Shonali PachauriIIASA, Laxenburg, Austria.
Frederica PereraDepartment of Environmental Health Sciences, Mailman School of Public Health, Columbia University, New York, New York, USA.
Helen PineoBartlett Faculty of the Built Environment, University College London, London, UK.
Justin V RemaisDivision of Environmental Health Sciences, University of California, Berkeley, Berkeley, California, USA.
Rebecca K SaariCivil and Environmental Engineering, University of Waterloo, Ontario, Canada.
Jon SampedroBasque Centre for Climate Change (BC3), Leioa, Spain.
Pauline ScheelbeekCentre on Climate Change and Planetary Health, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
Joel SchwartzDepartment of Environmental Health, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Heath, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Drew ShindellNicholas School of the Environment, Duke University, Durham, North Carolina, USA.
Priya ShyamsundarThe Nature Conservancy, Arlington, Virginia USA.
Timothy J TaylorEuropean Centre for Environment and Human Health, University of Exeter Medical School, Truro, Cornwall, UK.
Cathryn TonneISGlobal, Centre for Research in Environmental Epidemiology (CREAL), Barcelona, Spain.
Detlef Van VuurenPBL Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency, The Hague, Netherlands.
Can WangSchool of Environment, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China.
Nicholas WattsInstitute for Global Health, University College London, London, UK.
J Jason WestEnvironmental Sciences & Engineering, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA.
Paul WilkinsonDepartment of Public Health, Environments, and Society, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
Stephen A WoodSchool of Forestry and Environmental Studies, Yale University, New Haven, Connecticut, USA.
James WoodcockMRC Epidemiology Unit, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK.
Alistair WoodwardEpidemiology and Biostatistics, University of Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand.
Yang XieSchool of Economics and Management, Beihang University, Beijing, China.
Ying ZhangSchool of Public Health, University of Sydney, New South Wales, Australia.
Kristie L EbiCenter for Health and the Global Environment, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, USA.

Funding

True Metal fac coreP30ES009089 · NIEHS · COLUMBIA UNIVERSITY HEALTH SCIENCES · PI MATTHEW S PERZANOWSKI · 1998 to 2026
$44.7M
UNC-CH CENTER FOR ENVIRONMENTAL HEALTH &SUSCEPTIBILITYP30ES010126 · NIEHS · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI Melissa A. Troester · 2001 to 2026
$36.3M
HACKING EPIDEMICS: UNLOCKING THE DRIVERS OF TRANSMISSION SEASONALITYTO BATTLE VACCINE-PREVENTABLE DISEASESDP5OD023100 · OD · PRINCETON UNIVERSITY · PI MARTINEZ, MICAELA ELVIRA · 2016 to 2020
$1.8M
NIEHS NIH HHS P30 ES009089NIEHS NIH HHS P30 ES010126NIH HHS DP5 OD023100Wellcome TrustWorld Health Organization 001
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundModeling suggests that climate change mitigation actions can have substantial human health benefits that accrue quickly and locally. Documenting the benefits can help drive more ambitious and health-protective climate change mitigation actions; however, documenting the adverse health effects can help to avoid them. Estimating the health effects of mitigation (HEM) actions can help policy makers prioritize investments based not only on mitigation potential but also on expected health benefits. To date, however, the wide range of incompatible approaches taken to developing and reporting HEM estimates has limited their comparability and usefulness to policymakers.

objectiveThe objective of this effort was to generate guidance for modeling studies on scoping, estimating, and reporting population health effects from climate change mitigation actions.

methodsAn expert panel of HEM researchers was recruited to participate in developing guidance for conducting HEM studies. The primary literature and a synthesis of HEM studies were provided to the panel. Panel members then participated in a modified Delphi exercise to identify areas of consensus regarding HEM estimation. Finally, the panel met to review and discuss consensus findings, resolve remaining differences, and generate guidance regarding conducting HEM studies.

resultsThe panel generated a checklist of recommendations regarding stakeholder engagement: HEM modeling, including model structure, scope and scale, demographics, time horizons, counterfactuals, health response functions, and metrics; parameterization and reporting; approaches to uncertainty and sensitivity analysis; accounting for policy uptake; and discounting. DISCUSSION: This checklist provides guidance for conducting and reporting HEM estimates to make them more comparable and useful for policymakers. Harmonization of HEM estimates has the potential to lead to advances in and improved synthesis of policy-relevant research that can inform evidence-based decision making and practice. https://doi.org/10.1289/EHP6745.

Indexed as

Air PollutionCoronavirusCOVID-19Severe Acute Respiratory SyndromeClimate ChangeDisease OutbreaksEpidemiologic StudiesHumansSARS-CoV-2

Identifiers

PMID33170741
PMCPMC7654632

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.