ArticleeLife2020
Belief updating in bipolar disorder predicts time of recurrence.
Article in eLife, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
10 citing papers in PubMed.
- The Dynamics of Mood in Bipolar Disorder: How Mathematical Models Help Phenotype Individuals, Forecast Mood, and Clarify Underlying Mechanisms.Current psychiatry reports · 2025Review
- Trait-anxiety and belief updating: Exploring the role of negativity bias and contrast avoidance.Cognitive, affective & behavioral neuroscience · 2025Article
- Frequency-specific changes in prefrontal activity associated with maladaptive belief updating in volatile environments in euthymic bipolar disorder.Translational psychiatry · 2025Article
- The Epidemiological, Clinical, and Therapeutic Profile of Bipolar Patients in Eastern Morocco.Cureus · 2024Article
- Large environmental changes reduce valence-dependent belief updating.Scientific reports · 2024Article
- Does disconfirmatory evidence shape safety-and danger-related beliefs of trauma-exposed individuals?European journal of psychotraumatology · 2024Article
- Establishment and validation a relapse prediction model for bipolar disorder.Frontiers in psychiatry · 2024Article
- There is no belief update bias for neutral events: failure to replicate Burton et al. (2022).Journal of cognitive psychology (Hove, England) · 2023Article
- Is depression associated with reduced optimistic belief updating?Royal Society open science · 2022Article
- The Assessment of Awareness of Early Warning Signs of Bipolar Disorder Recurrence Among Patients and Their Main Caregivers in Jordan.SAGE open nursingArticle
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
4 authors.
Funding
Abstract
Bipolar disorder is a chronic relapsing condition in which mood episodes are interspersed with periods of wellbeing (euthymia). Shorter periods of euthymia are associated with poorer functioning, so it is crucial to identify predictors of relapse to facilitate treatment. Here, we test the hypothesis that specific valence-dependent learning patterns emerge prior to the clinical manifestation of a relapse, predicting its timing. The ability to update beliefs in response to positive and negative information was quantified in bipolar patients during euthymia, who were then monitored for 5 years. We found that reduced tendency to update beliefs in response to positive relative to negative information predicted earlier relapse. Less updating in response to positive information may generate pessimistic beliefs, which in turn can lead to more severe prodromal symptoms (e.g. sleep disturbance, irritability etc.). The results suggest that measuring valence-dependent belief updating could facilitate risk prediction in bipolar disorder.
Indexed as
Identifiers
What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.