Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33167929›Full record

Observational studyBMC pediatrics2020

Mean core to peripheral temperature difference and mean lactate levels in first 6 hours of hospitalisation as two indicators of prognosis: an observational cohort study.

Aashish Gupta, Jacob Puliyel, Bhawana Garg, Pramod Upadhyay

Open access · goldAbstract readObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in BMC pediatrics, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed
0.6field-weighted citation impact, top 33% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed, 10 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Scorpion Envenomation: An Intensive Care Unit Transfer Prediction Score.Revista da Sociedade Brasileira de Medicina Tropical · 2026
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Aashish GuptaDepartment of Paediatrics, St. Stephens Hospital, Tis Hazari, Delhi, India.
Jacob PuliyelDepartment of Paediatrics, St. Stephens Hospital, Tis Hazari, Delhi, India. puliyel@gmail.com.
Bhawana GargIndependent Statistician, 135 Bhagirathi, Sector 9, Rohini, Delhi, India.
Pramod UpadhyayNational Institute of Immunology, New Delhi, India. pkumar@nii.ac.in.ORCID 0000-0002-5560-822X
St. Stephen’s Hospital · INNational Institute of Pathology · IN

Funding

Department of Biotechnology , Ministry of Science and Technology Funding Support for publication fee was from National Institute of Immunology, New Delhi, India.
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundTo study mean core to peripheral temperature difference (CPTD) and the mean lactate levels over the first 6 h of admission to hospital, as indicators of prognosis in critically ill children.

methodsA prospective observational study in a tertiary level Pediatrics ICU in Delhi, India. Seventy eight paediatric patients from 1 month to 12 years were studied. Children with physical trauma, post-surgical patients and patients with peripheral vascular disease were excluded. Core temperature (skin over temporal artery) to peripheral temperature (big toe) difference was measured repeatedly every minute over 6 h and mean of temperature difference was calculated. Pediatric Risk of Mortality (PRISM) II, lactate clearance and mean lactate levels during that time were also studied. In-hospital mortality was used as the outcome measure.

resultsMean temperature difference During the first 6 h after admission the mean temperature difference was 9.37 ± 2 °C in those who died and 3.71 ± 2.27 °C in those who survived (p < 0.0001). The area under the receiver operating curve (AUROC) was 0.953 (p < 0.0001). The comparable AUROC of PRISM II was 0.999 (p < 0.0001). Mean Lactate Mean lactate level in the first 6 h was 7.1 ± 2.02 mg/dl in those who died compared to 2.86 ± 0.87 mg/dl in those who survived (p < 0.0001). The AUROC curve for mean lactate was 0.989 (95% CI = 0.933 to 0.999; p < 0.0001). AUROC for the lactate clearance was 0.682 (p = 0.0214).

conclusionsThe mean core to peripheral temperature difference over the first 6 h is an easy-to-use and non-invasive method that is useful to predict mortality in children admitted to the Pediatric ICU. The mean lactate during the first 6 h of Pediatric ICU admission is a better index of prognosis than the lactate clearance over the same time period. They may be used as components of a scoring system to predict mortality.

Indexed as

Critical IllnessHospitalizationChildCohort StudiesHumansIndiaPrognosisTemperatureCore to peripheral temperature differenceLactate clearanceMean lactatePediatric risk of mortality (PRISM II)

Identifiers

PMID33167929
PMCPMC7653762
OpenAlexW3098223187

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.