Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33166430›Full record

ArticleInternational journal of methods in psychiatric research2021

Assessing the predictive ability of the Suicide Crisis Inventory for near-term suicidal behavior using machine learning approaches.

Neelang Parghi, Lakshmi Chennapragada, Shira Barzilay, Saskia Newkirk, Brian Ahmedani, Benjamin Lok, Igor Galynker

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in International journal of methods in psychiatric research, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
1.3field-weighted citation impact, top 12% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 30 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
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  6. Review
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  8. Article
  9. Prospective Validation of a Suicide Event Risk Model in Transgender Patients.AMIA ... Annual Symposium proceedings. AMIA Symposium · 2024
    Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 5 institutions in 2 countries.

Neelang ParghiCourant Institute of Mathematical Sciences, New York University, New York City, New York, USA.
Lakshmi ChennapragadaDepartment of Psychiatry and Behavioral Health, Mount Sinai Beth Israel Medical Center, New York City, New York, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-9363-8676
Shira BarzilayPsychiatry Department, Schneider Children's Medical Centre, Tel Aviv University, Tel Aviv, Israel.
Saskia NewkirkDepartment of Psychiatry and Behavioral Health, Mount Sinai Beth Israel Medical Center, New York City, New York, USA.
Brian AhmedaniCenter for Health Policy and Health Services Research, Henry Ford Health System, Detroit, Michigan, USA.
Benjamin LokCollege of Engineering, University of Florida, Gainesville, Florida, USA.
Igor GalynkerDepartment of Psychiatry and Behavioral Health, Mount Sinai Beth Israel Medical Center, New York City, New York, USA.
Mount Sinai Beth Israel · USCourant Institute of Mathematical Sciences · USHenry Ford Health System · USTel Aviv University · ILUniversity of Florida · US

Funding

Impact of clinician Virtual Human Interaction training in Emotional Self-Awareness on patients Suicidal Ideation and Suicide Crisis Syndrome: a Randomized Controlled TrialR34MH119294 · NIMH · ICAHN SCHOOL OF MEDICINE AT MOUNT SINAI · PI GALYNKER, IGOR · 2019 to 2021
$833k
NIMH NIH HHS R34 MH119294
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveThis study explores the prediction of near-term suicidal behavior using machine learning (ML) analyses of the Suicide Crisis Inventory (SCI), which measures the Suicide Crisis Syndrome, a presuicidal mental state.

methodsSCI data were collected from high-risk psychiatric inpatients (N = 591) grouped based on their short-term suicidal behavior, that is, those who attempted suicide between intake and 1-month follow-up dates (N = 20) and those who did not (N = 571). Data were analyzed using three predictive algorithms (logistic regression, random forest, and gradient boosting) and three sampling approaches (split sample, Synthetic minority oversampling technique, and enhanced bootstrap).

resultsThe enhanced bootstrap approach considerably outperformed the other sampling approaches, with random forest (98.0% precision; 33.9% recall; 71.0% Area under the precision-recall curve [AUPRC]; and 87.8% Area under the receiver operating characteristic [AUROC]) and gradient boosting (94.0% precision; 48.9% recall; 70.5% AUPRC; and 89.4% AUROC) algorithms performing best in predicting positive cases of near-term suicidal behavior using this dataset.

conclusionsML can be useful in analyzing data from psychometric scales, such as the SCI, and for predicting near-term suicidal behavior. However, in cases such as the current analysis where the data are highly imbalanced, the optimal method of measuring performance must be carefully considered and selected.

Indexed as

Machine LearningSuicidal IdeationArea Under CurveHumansLogistic ModelsROC CurveImminent Riskmachine learningrisk assessmentsuicidesuicide crisis syndrome

Identifiers

PMID33166430
PMCPMC7992291
OpenAlexW3103837797

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.