Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33160309›Full record

ArticleBMC pediatrics2020

Leukemia mortality in children from Latin America: trends and predictions to 2030.

J Smith Torres-Roman, Bryan Valcarcel, Pedro Guerra-Canchari, Camila Alves Dos Santos, Isabelle Ribeiro Barbosa, Carlo La Vecchia, Katherine A McGlynn, Dyego Leandro Bezerra de Souza

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC pediatrics, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
13citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

13 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  11. Low Prevalence ofFrontiers in pediatrics · 2022
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

J Smith Torres-RomanUniversidad Científica del Sur, Lima, Peru. jstorresroman@gmail.com.ORCID 0000-0001-5310-6077
Bryan ValcarcelLatin American Network for Cancer Research (LAN-CANCER), Lima, Peru.
Pedro Guerra-CanchariLatin American Network for Cancer Research (LAN-CANCER), Lima, Peru.
Camila Alves Dos SantosLatin American Network for Cancer Research (LAN-CANCER), Lima, Peru.
Isabelle Ribeiro BarbosaLatin American Network for Cancer Research (LAN-CANCER), Lima, Peru.
Carlo La VecchiaDepartment of Clinical Sciences and Community Health, Università degli Studi di Milano, 20133, Milan, Italy.
Katherine A McGlynnDivision of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, Bethesda, MD, USA.
Dyego Leandro Bezerra de SouzaLatin American Network for Cancer Research (LAN-CANCER), Lima, Peru.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundReports suggest that Latin American and Caribbean (LAC) countries have not reduced leukemia mortality compared to high-income countries. However, updated trends remain largely unknown in the region. Given that leukemia is the leading cause of cancer-related death in LAC children, we evaluated mortality trends in children (0-14y) from 15 LAC countries for the period 2000-2017 and predicted mortality to 2030.

methodsWe retrieved cancer mortality data using the World Health Organization Mortality Database. Mortality rates (standardized to the world standard SEGI population) were analyzed for 15 LAC countries. We evaluated the average mortality rates for the last 5 years (2013-2017). Joinpoint regression analysis was used to evaluate leukemia mortality trends and provide an estimated annual percent change (EAPC). Nordpred was utilized for the calculation of predictions until 2030.

resultsBetween 2013 and 2017, the highest mortality rates were reported in Venezuela, Ecuador, Nicaragua, Mexico, and Peru. Upward mortality trends were reported in Nicaragua (EAPC by 2.9% in boys, and EAPC by 2.0% in girls), and Peru (EAPC by 1.4% in both sexes). Puerto Rico experienced large declines in mortality among both boys (EAPC by - 9.7%), and girls (EAPC by - 6.0%). Leukemia mortality will increase in Argentina, Ecuador, Guatemala, Panama, Peru, and Uruguay by 2030.

conclusionLeukemia mortality is predicted to increase in some LAC countries by 2030. Interventions to prevent this outcome should be tailor to reduce the socioeconomic inequalities and ensure universal healthcare coverage.

Indexed as

LeukemiaArgentinaChildEcuadorFemaleGuatemalaHumansLatin AmericaMaleMexicoMortalityNicaraguaPanamaPeruVenezuelaChildLatin AmericaLeukemiaMortality rateTrends, epidemiology

Identifiers

PMID33160309
PMCPMC7648388

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.