ArticleNature communications2020
Historical and projected future range sizes of the world's mammals, birds, and amphibians.
Article in Nature communications, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 22 papers.
What it found
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
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Who cites it
22 citing papers in PubMed.
- Bridging Conservation Gaps: Evaluating Habitat Mapping Methods for Alpine River Ecosystems.Environmental management · 2026Article
- Climate-Driven Range Dynamics of the Chinese Giant Salamander: Past, Present, and Future Projections From Ensemble Species Distribution Models.Ecology and evolution · 2026Article
- Nine changes needed to deliver a radical transformation in biodiversity measurement.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026Article
- Article
- Reconciling crop production, climate action and nature conservation in Europe by agricultural intensification and extensification.Nature communications · 2025Article
- Global 1-km habitat distribution for endangered species and its spatial changes under future warming scenarios.Scientific data · 2025Article
- Mixed effects of protected areas on avian food webs.Proceedings. Biological sciences · 2025Article
- Historical Demography and Species Distribution Models Shed Light on Speciation in Primates of Northeast India.Ecology and evolution · 2025Article
- Physiological and nutritional stress response of African elephants within the lantana-dominated Lower Imenti Forest Reserve in Kenya.Conservation physiology · 2025Article
- Low human interest for the most at-risk reef fishes worldwide.Science advances · 2024Article
- Preference of trees for nest building by critically endangered white-rumped vultures (Ecology and evolution · 2024Article
- Article
- Article
- How Does Changing Environment Influence Plant Seed Movements as Populations of Dispersal Vectors Decline?Plants (Basel, Switzerland) · 2023Review
- Deleterious Variation in Natural Populations and Implications for Conservation Genetics.Annual review of animal biosciences · 2023Review
- Time-lagged effects of habitat fragmentation on terrestrial mammals in Madagascar.Conservation biology : the journal of the Society for Conservation Biology · 2022Article
- Current breeding distributions and predicted range shifts under climate change in two subspecies of Black-tailed Godwits in Asia.Global change biology · 2022Article
- Developing fine-grained nationwide predictions of valuable forests using biodiversity indicator bird species.Ecological applications : a publication of the Ecological Society of America · 2022Article
- Article
- Range Sizes of the World's Mammals, Birds, and Amphibians from the Mid-Holocene to the Industrial Period.Animals : an open access journal from MDPI · 2021Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
2 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Species' vulnerability to extinction is strongly impacted by their geographical range size. Formulating effective conservation strategies therefore requires a better understanding of how the ranges of the world's species have changed in the past, and how they will change under alternative future scenarios. Here, we use reconstructions of global land use and biomes since 1700, and 16 possible climatic and socio-economic scenarios until the year 2100, to map the habitat ranges of 16,919 mammal, bird, and amphibian species through time. We estimate that species have lost an average of 18% of their natural habitat range sizes thus far, and may lose up to 23% by 2100. Our data reveal that range losses have been increasing disproportionately in relation to the area of destroyed habitat, driven by a long-term increase of land use in tropical biodiversity hotspots. The outcomes of different future climate and land use trajectories for global habitat ranges vary drastically, providing important quantitative evidence for conservation planners and policy makers of the costs and benefits of alternative pathways for the future of global biodiversity.
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