Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33158442›Full record

ArticleBMC biology2020

Modelling the Wolbachia incompatible insect technique: strategies for effective mosquito population elimination.

D E Pagendam, B J Trewin, N Snoad, S A Ritchie, A A Hoffmann, K M Staunton, C Paton, N Beebe

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC biology, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 27 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
27citing papers in PubMed
5.8field-weighted citation impact, top 4% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

27 citing papers in PubMed, 73 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Review
  2. EliminatingInsects · 2026
    Article
  3. Review
  4. ModellingJournal of pest science · 2026
    Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. ExploitingPathogens (Basel, Switzerland) · 2025
    Review
  11. Review
  12. Review
  13. Article
  14. Insects · 2024
    Article
  15. Review
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. SymbioticFrontiers in microbiology · 2023
    Review
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 7 institutions in 2 countries.

D E PagendamCSIRO Data61, 41 Boggo Road, Dutton Park, QLD, 4102, Australia.
B J TrewinCSIRO Health and Biosecurity, 41 Boggo Road, Dutton Park, QLD, 4102, Australia. brendan.trewin@csiro.au.ORCID 0000-0002-7244-4044
N SnoadVerily Life Sciences, 259 East Grand Avenue, South San Francisco, CA, 94080, USA.
S A RitchieCollege of Public Health, Medical and Veterinary Sciences, James Cook University, Smithfield, QLD, 4878, Australia.
A A HoffmannSchool of Biological Sciences, Bio21 Institute, The University of Melbourne, Parkville, VIC, Australia.
K M StauntonCollege of Public Health, Medical and Veterinary Sciences, James Cook University, Smithfield, QLD, 4878, Australia.
C PatonCollege of Public Health, Medical and Veterinary Sciences, James Cook University, Smithfield, QLD, 4878, Australia.
N BeebeCSIRO Health and Biosecurity, 41 Boggo Road, Dutton Park, QLD, 4102, Australia.
Australian Institute of Tropical Health and Medicine · AUCommonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation · AUCSIRO Health and Biosecurity · AUEnzo Life Sciences (United States) · USJames Cook University · AUThe University of Melbourne · AUThe University of Queensland · AU

Funding

National Health and Medical Research Council 1082127
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe Wolbachia incompatible insect technique (IIT) shows promise as a method for eliminating populations of invasive mosquitoes such as Aedes aegypti (Linnaeus) (Diptera: Culicidae) and reducing the incidence of vector-borne diseases such as dengue, chikungunya and Zika. Successful implementation of this biological control strategy relies on high-fidelity separation of male from female insects in mass production systems for inundative release into landscapes. Processes for sex-separating mosquitoes are typically error-prone and laborious, and IIT programmes run the risk of releasing Wolbachia-infected females and replacing wild mosquito populations.

resultsWe introduce a simple Markov population process model for studying mosquito populations subjected to a Wolbachia-IIT programme which exhibit an unstable equilibrium threshold. The model is used to study, in silico, scenarios that are likely to yield a successful elimination result. Our results suggest that elimination is best achieved by releasing males at rates that adapt to the ever-decreasing wild population, thus reducing the risk of releasing Wolbachia-infected females while reducing costs.

conclusionsWhile very high-fidelity sex separation is required to avoid establishment, release programmes tend to be robust to the release of a small number of Wolbachia-infected females. These findings will inform and enhance the next generation of Wolbachia-IIT population control strategies that are already showing great promise in field trials.

Indexed as

AedesAnimalsFemaleMaleMarkov ChainsModels, BiologicalMosquito ControlMosquito VectorsPopulation DynamicsWolbachiaEliminationEstablishment riskIncompatible insect techniqueSimulationStochastic modelWolbachia

Identifiers

PMID33158442
PMCPMC7646074
OpenAlexW3097016930

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.