ArticleNature communications2020
Bryophytes are predicted to lag behind future climate change despite their high dispersal capacities.
Article in Nature communications, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 22 papers.
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Who cites it
22 citing papers in PubMed.
- Contrasting Climate Change Responses of the Rare Moss GenusPlants (Basel, Switzerland) · 2026Article
- The current distribution of an invasive moss speciesBiodiversity data journal · 2026Article
- Range Dynamics of the MossPlants (Basel, Switzerland) · 2025Article
- Climate-linked biogeography of mycorrhizal fungal spore traits.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025Article
- The Accelerating Exposure of European Protected Areas to Climate Change.Global change biology · 2025Article
- Monitoring the Growth and Habitat Shifts of Epiphyllous Liverworts in Subtropical Forests of China.Ecology and evolution · 2025Article
- Can biocrust moss hide from climate change? Fine-scale habitat sheltering improves summer stress resistance in Syntrichia caninervis.American journal of botany · 2025Article
- Modeling the distribution of the endemic Turkish moss speciesFrontiers in plant science · 2025Article
- Landscape Heterogeneity Drives Genetic Diversity in the Highly Dispersive MossPlants (Basel, Switzerland) · 2024Article
- Host tree availability shapes potential distribution of a target epiphytic moss species more than direct climate effects.Scientific reports · 2024Article
- Climate change increases threat to plant diversity in tropical forests of Central America and southern Mexico.PloS one · 2024Article
- Newly found and rediscovered hornworts (Anthocerotophyta) in Poland: Indicators of climate change impact in Central Europe.PhytoKeys · 2024Article
- Bryophyte Diversity and Distribution Patterns along Elevation Gradients of the Mount Etna (Sicily), the Highest Active Volcano in Europea.Plants (Basel, Switzerland) · 2023Article
- Thermophilisation of communities differs between land plant lineages, land use types and elevation.Scientific reports · 2023Article
- Taxon-dependent effects of dispersal limitation versus environmental filters on bryophyte assemblages-Multiple perspective studies in land-bridge islands.Ecology and evolution · 2023Article
- Possible Effects of Climate Change on the Occurrence and Distribution of the Rare MossPlants (Basel, Switzerland) · 2023Article
- Dispersal capacities of pollen, seeds and spores: insights from comparative analyses of spatial genetic structures in bryophytes and spermatophytes.Frontiers in plant science · 2023Article
- Moss establishment success is determined by the interaction between propagule size and species identity.Scientific reports · 2022Article
- Quo Vadis,Plants (Basel, Switzerland) · 2022Article
- Stress, senescence, and specialized metabolites in bryophytes.Journal of experimental botany · 2022Review
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
10 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
The extent to which species can balance out the loss of suitable habitats due to climate warming by shifting their ranges is an area of controversy. Here, we assess whether highly efficient wind-dispersed organisms like bryophytes can keep-up with projected shifts in their areas of suitable climate. Using a hybrid statistical-mechanistic approach accounting for spatial and temporal variations in both climatic and wind conditions, we simulate future migrations across Europe for 40 bryophyte species until 2050. The median ratios between predicted range loss vs expansion by 2050 across species and climate change scenarios range from 1.6 to 3.3 when only shifts in climatic suitability were considered, but increase to 34.7-96.8 when species dispersal abilities are added to our models. This highlights the importance of accounting for dispersal restrictions when projecting future distribution ranges and suggests that even highly dispersive organisms like bryophytes are not equipped to fully track the rates of ongoing climate change in the course of the next decades.
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