Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33153996›Full record

Observational studyHeart (British Cardiac Society)2021

Association of heart failure and its comorbidities with loss of life expectancy.

Michael Drozd, Samuel D Relton, Andrew M N Walker, Thomas A Slater, John Gierula, Maria F Paton, Judith Lowry, Sam Straw, Aaron Koshy, Melanie McGinlay and 6 more

Abstract readObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in Heart (British Cardiac Society), 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 32 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
32citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

32 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

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  7. Pivotal Trials in Heart Failure in 2024-Putting Evidence into Clinical Practice!The International journal of angiology : official publication of the International College of Angiology, Inc · 2026
    Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

16 authors.

Michael DrozdLeeds Institute of Cardiovascular and Metabolic Medicine, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK.ORCID 0000-0003-0255-4624
Samuel D ReltonLeeds Institute of Health Sciences, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK.
Andrew M N WalkerLeeds Institute of Cardiovascular and Metabolic Medicine, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK.
Thomas A SlaterLeeds Institute of Cardiovascular and Metabolic Medicine, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK.ORCID 0000-0001-9213-5559
John GierulaLeeds Institute of Cardiovascular and Metabolic Medicine, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK.
Maria F PatonLeeds Institute of Cardiovascular and Metabolic Medicine, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK.
Judith LowryLeeds Institute of Cardiovascular and Metabolic Medicine, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK.
Sam StrawLeeds Institute of Cardiovascular and Metabolic Medicine, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK.
Aaron KoshyLeeds Institute of Cardiovascular and Metabolic Medicine, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK.
Melanie McGinlayLeeds Institute of Cardiovascular and Metabolic Medicine, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK.
Alexander D SimmsDepartment of Cardiology, Leeds General Infirmary, Leeds, UK.
V Kate GatenbyDepartment of Cardiology, Leeds General Infirmary, Leeds, UK.
Robert J SapsfordDepartment of Cardiology, Leeds General Infirmary, Leeds, UK.
Klaus K WitteLeeds Institute of Cardiovascular and Metabolic Medicine, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-7146-7105
Mark T KearneyLeeds Institute of Cardiovascular and Metabolic Medicine, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK.
Richard M CubbonLeeds Institute of Cardiovascular and Metabolic Medicine, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK r.cubbon@leeds.ac.uk.ORCID 0000-0001-7844-3600

Funding

British Heart Foundation CH/13/1/30086British Heart Foundation FS/12/80/29821British Heart Foundation FS/14/10/30472British Heart Foundation FS/18/44/33792British Heart Foundation FS/CRTF/20/24071British Heart Foundation PG/08/020/24617British Heart Foundation RG/09/010/28087Department of Health NIHR-CS-012-032
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveEstimating survival can aid care planning, but the use of absolute survival projections can be challenging for patients and clinicians to contextualise. We aimed to define how heart failure and its major comorbidities contribute to loss of actuarially predicted life expectancy.

methodsWe conducted an observational cohort study of 1794 adults with stable chronic heart failure and reduced left ventricular ejection fraction, recruited from cardiology outpatient departments of four UK hospitals. Data from an 11-year maximum (5-year median) follow-up period (999 deaths) were used to define how heart failure and its major comorbidities impact on survival, relative to an age-sex matched control UK population, using a relative survival framework.

resultsAfter 10 years, mortality in the reference control population was 29%. In people with heart failure, this increased by an additional 37% (95% CI 34% to 40%), equating to an additional 2.2 years of lost life or a 2.4-fold (2.2-2.5) excess loss of life. This excess was greater in men than women (2.4 years (2.2-2.7) vs 1.6 years (1.2-2.0); p<0.001). In patients without major comorbidity, men still experienced excess loss of life, while women experienced less and were non-significantly different from the reference population (1 year (0.6-1.5) vs 0.4 years (-0.3 to 1); p<0.001). Accrual of comorbidity was associated with substantial increases in excess lost life, particularly for diabetes, chronic kidney and lung disease.

conclusionsComorbidity accounts for the majority of lost life expectancy in people with heart failure. Women, but not men, without comorbidity experience survival close to reference controls.

Indexed as

Heart Failure, SystolicLife ExpectancyAgedComorbidityDiabetes MellitusFemaleHumansLung DiseasesMalePrognosisRenal Insufficiency, ChronicSex FactorsSurvival AnalysisUnited Kingdomheart failureheart failure with reduced ejection fraction

Identifiers

PMID33153996
PMCPMC8372397

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.