Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33153356›Full record

ArticleJournal of the American Heart Association2020

Survival in Children With Congenital Heart Disease: Have We Reached a Peak at 97%?

Zacharias Mandalenakis, Kok Wai Giang, Peter Eriksson, Hans Liden, Mats Synnergren, Håkan Wåhlander, Maria Fedchenko, Annika Rosengren, Mikael Dellborg

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of the American Heart Association, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 206 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
206citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
20.4field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

206 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 380 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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  10. Menstrual Health in Adolescents with Congenital Heart DiseaseJournal of clinical research in pediatric endocrinology · 2026
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  20. Prenatal detection and outcome of major heart defects in a country with universal screening.Ultrasound in obstetrics & gynecology : the official journal of the International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology · 2026
    Article

146 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Zacharias MandalenakisDepartment of Molecular and Clinical Medicine Institute of Medicine Sahlgrenska Academy University of Gothenburg Sweden.
Kok Wai GiangDepartment of Molecular and Clinical Medicine Institute of Medicine Sahlgrenska Academy University of Gothenburg Sweden.
Peter ErikssonDepartment of Molecular and Clinical Medicine Institute of Medicine Sahlgrenska Academy University of Gothenburg Sweden.
Hans LidenDepartment of Paediatrics Institute of Clinical Sciences Sahlgrenska Academy University of Gothenburg Sweden.
Mats SynnergrenDepartment of Paediatrics Institute of Clinical Sciences Sahlgrenska Academy University of Gothenburg Sweden.
Håkan WåhlanderDepartment of Paediatrics Institute of Clinical Sciences Sahlgrenska Academy University of Gothenburg Sweden.
Maria FedchenkoDepartment of Molecular and Clinical Medicine Institute of Medicine Sahlgrenska Academy University of Gothenburg Sweden.
Annika RosengrenDepartment of Molecular and Clinical Medicine Institute of Medicine Sahlgrenska Academy University of Gothenburg Sweden.
Mikael DellborgDepartment of Molecular and Clinical Medicine Institute of Medicine Sahlgrenska Academy University of Gothenburg Sweden.
University of Gothenburg · SE

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background Despite advances in pediatric health care over recent decades, it is not clear whether survival in children with congenital heart disease (CHD) is still increasing. Methods and Results We identified all patients with CHD using nationwide Swedish health registries for 1980 to 2017. We examined the survival trends in children with CHD; we investigated the mortality risk in patients with CHD compared with matched controls without CHD from the general population using Cox proportional regression models and Kaplan-Meier survival analysis. Among 64 396 patients with CHD and 639 012 matched controls without CHD, 3845 (6.0%) and 2235 (0.3%) died, respectively. The mean study follow-up (SD) was 11.4 (6.3) years in patients with CHD. The mortality risk was 17.7 (95% CI, 16.8-18.6) times higher in children with CHD compared with controls. The highest mortality risk was found during the first 4 years of life in patients with CHD (hazard ratio [HR], 19.6; 95% CI, 18.5-20.7). When stratified by lesion group, patients with non-conotruncal defects had the highest risk (HR, 97.2; 95% CI, 80.4-117.4). Survival increased substantially according to birth decades, but with no improvement after the turn of the century where survivorship reached 97% in children with CHD born in 2010 to 2017. Conclusions Survival in children with CHD has increased substantially since the 1980s; however, no significant improvement has been observed this century. Currently, >97% of children with CHD can be expected to reach adulthood highlighting the need of life-time management.

Indexed as

AdolescentCase-Control StudiesChildChild MortalityChild, PreschoolFemaleHeart Defects, CongenitalHumansInfantKaplan-Meier EstimateMaleProportional Hazards ModelsRegistriesSurvival RateSwedencongenital heart diseasenationwidepediatricregistry studysurvivorship

Identifiers

PMID33153356
PMCPMC7763707
OpenAlexW3097393781

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.