Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33153155›Full record

ArticleInternational journal of environmental research and public health2020

Model Calculations of Aerosol Transmission and Infection Risk of COVID-19 in Indoor Environments.

Jos Lelieveld, Frank Helleis, Stephan Borrmann, Yafang Cheng, Frank Drewnick, Gerald Haug, Thomas Klimach, Jean Sciare, Hang Su, Ulrich Pöschl

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in International journal of environmental research and public health, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 94 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
94citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

94 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Measures implemented in the school setting to contain the COVID-19 pandemicThe Cochrane database of systematic reviews · 2022
    Pooled it
  2. Trial
  3. Parametrization of microbial survival models under UVC exposure.Photochemical & photobiological sciences : Official journal of the European Photochemistry Association and the European Society for Photobiology · 2026
    Article
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34 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Jos LelieveldMax Planck Institute for Chemistry, 55128 Mainz, Germany.ORCID 0000-0001-6307-3846
Frank HelleisMax Planck Institute for Chemistry, 55128 Mainz, Germany.
Stephan BorrmannMax Planck Institute for Chemistry, 55128 Mainz, Germany.
Yafang ChengMax Planck Institute for Chemistry, 55128 Mainz, Germany.
Frank DrewnickMax Planck Institute for Chemistry, 55128 Mainz, Germany.
Gerald HaugMax Planck Institute for Chemistry, 55128 Mainz, Germany.
Thomas KlimachMax Planck Institute for Chemistry, 55128 Mainz, Germany.
Jean SciareMax Planck Institute for Chemistry, 55128 Mainz, Germany.
Hang SuMax Planck Institute for Chemistry, 55128 Mainz, Germany.
Ulrich PöschlMax Planck Institute for Chemistry, 55128 Mainz, Germany.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The role of aerosolized SARS-CoV-2 viruses in airborne transmission of COVID-19 has been debated. The aerosols are transmitted through breathing and vocalization by infectious subjects. Some authors state that this represents the dominant route of spreading, while others dismiss the option. Here we present an adjustable algorithm to estimate the infection risk for different indoor environments, constrained by published data of human aerosol emissions, SARS-CoV-2 viral loads, infective dose and other parameters. We evaluate typical indoor settings such as an office, a classroom, choir practice, and a reception/party. Our results suggest that aerosols from highly infective subjects can effectively transmit COVID-19 in indoor environments. This "highly infective" category represents approximately 20% of the patients who tested positive for SARS-CoV-2. We find that "super infective" subjects, representing the top 5-10% of subjects with a positive test, plus an unknown fraction of less-but still highly infective, high aerosol-emitting subjects-may cause COVID-19 clusters (>10 infections). In general, active room ventilation and the ubiquitous wearing of face masks (i.e., by all subjects) may reduce the individual infection risk by a factor of five to ten, similar to high-volume, high-efficiency particulate air (HEPA) filtering. A particularly effective mitigation measure is the use of high-quality masks, which can drastically reduce the indoor infection risk through aerosols.

Indexed as

AerosolsModels, TheoreticalAir MicrobiologyAlgorithmsBetacoronavirusCoronavirus InfectionsCOVID-19FiltrationHumansMasksPandemicsPneumonia, ViralSARS-CoV-2VentilationAerosolsaerosol particlesairborne transmissionCOVID-19indoor environmentinfection riskSARS-CoV-2 virus

Identifiers

PMID33153155
PMCPMC7662582

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.