Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33152698›Full record

ArticleJournal of the National Comprehensive Cancer Network : JNCCN2020

A New Surveillance Algorithm After Resection of Colorectal Liver Metastases Based on Changes in Recurrence Risk and RAS Mutation Status.

Yoshikuni Kawaguchi, Scott Kopetz, Heather A Lillemoe, Hyunsoo Hwang, Xuemei Wang, Ching-Wei D Tzeng, Yun Shin Chun, Thomas A Aloia, Jean-Nicolas Vauthey

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of the National Comprehensive Cancer Network : JNCCN, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 21 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
21citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

21 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Review
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  6. A Rare Case of Colorectal Cancer With Delayed Metastasis to the Duodenum.Case reports in gastrointestinal medicine · 2025
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  10. Incidence of and Risk Factors for Incisional Hernia After Hepatectomy for Colorectal Liver Metastases.Journal of gastrointestinal surgery : official journal of the Society for Surgery of the Alimentary Tract · 2023
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  11. Review
  12. Article
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  16. [Comparison of Clinical Efficacy of Thermal Ablation vs. Surgical Resection of Metachronous Colorectal Liver Metastasis].Sichuan da xue xue bao. Yi xue ban = Journal of Sichuan University. Medical science edition · 2022
    Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Yoshikuni Kawaguchi1Department of Surgical Oncology.
Scott Kopetz2Department of Gastrointestinal Medical Oncology, and.
Heather A Lillemoe1Department of Surgical Oncology.
Hyunsoo Hwang3Department of Biostatistics, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, Texas.
Xuemei Wang3Department of Biostatistics, The University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, Texas.
Ching-Wei D Tzeng1Department of Surgical Oncology.
Yun Shin Chun1Department of Surgical Oncology.
Thomas A Aloia1Department of Surgical Oncology.
Jean-Nicolas Vauthey1Department of Surgical Oncology.

Funding

Tumor Evolution and Metastasis ProgramP30CA016672 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF TX MD ANDERSON CAN CTR · PI Scott Kopetz · 1985 to 2026
$290.8M
NCI NIH HHS P30 CA016672
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe optimal surveillance strategy after resection of colorectal liver metastases (CLM) is unknown. We evaluated changes in recurrence risk after CLM resection and developed a surveillance algorithm.

methodsPatients undergoing CLM resection during 1998 to 2015 were identified from a prospectively compiled database and analyzed if they had the potential for follow-up longer than the longest observed time to recurrence in this cohort. Changes in recurrence risk and risk factors for recurrence were evaluated. All statistical tests were 2-sided.

resultsAmong 2,105 patients who were initially identified and underwent CLM resection, the latest recurrence was observed at 87 months; 1,221 consecutive patients from 1998 through 2011 with the potential for at least 87 months of follow-up were included. The risk of recurrence was highest at 0 to 2 years after CLM resection, lower at 2 to 4 years after CLM resection, and steadily lower after 4 years after CLM resection. Factors associated with increased recurrence risk at the time of surgery were primary lymph node metastasis (hazard ratio [HR], 1.54; 95% CI, 1.21-1.97; P<.001), multiple CLM (HR, 1.31; 95% CI, 1.06-1.63; P=.015), largest liver metastasis diameter >5 cm (HR, 1.64; 95% CI, 1.23-2.19; P<.001), and RAS mutation (HR, 1.29; 95% CI, 1.04-1.59; P=.020). In patients without recurrence at 2 years, the only factor still associated with increased recurrence risk was RAS mutation. In those patients, the recurrence rate at 4 years was 59.3% in patients with RAS mutation versus 27.8% in patients with RAS wild-type (P=.019).

conclusionsFor patients who have undergone CLM resection, we propose surveillance every 3 to 4 months during years 0 to 2, every 3 to 4 months (if mutant RAS) versus every 4 to 6 months (if RAS wild-type) during years 2 to 4, and every 6 to 12 months if recurrence-free at 4 years.

Indexed as

AlgorithmsColorectal NeoplasmsLiver NeoplasmsHepatectomyHumansMutationNeoplasm Recurrence, LocalPrognosisRetrospective StudiesSurvival Rate

Identifiers

PMID33152698
PMCPMC10547101

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.