Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33151550›Full record

Observational studyJournal of the American Geriatrics Society2021

The Prognostic Performance of Frailty for Delirium and Functional Decline in Vascular Surgery Patients.

Janani Thillainadesan, Alison M Mudge, Sarah J Aitken, Sarah N Hilmer, John S Cullen, Minna F Yumol, Jacqueline C T Close, Christina M Norris, Richard Kerdic, Vasi Naganathan

Abstract readObservational Study
PubMed Publisher
In one paragraph

Observational study in Journal of the American Geriatrics Society, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 15 papers, 5 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
15citing papers in PubMed, 5 pooled it
1.9field-weighted citation impact, top 15% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

15 citing papers in PubMed, 5 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 31 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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  6. Where Does It Hurt? A 4-S Model of Pain Onset and Recovery Across Body Sites Among Older Adults.The journals of gerontology. Series B, Psychological sciences and social sciences · 2025
    Article
  7. Observational
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  15. Incorporating Outcomes that Matter to Older Adults into Surgical Research.Journal of the American Geriatrics Society · 2021
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors at 4 institutions in 2 countries.

Janani ThillainadesanDepartment of Geriatric Medicine, Concord Hospital, Concord, Australia.ORCID 0000-0002-5287-7483
Alison M MudgeInternal Medicine Research Unit, Royal Brisbane and Women's Hospital, Herston, Australia.ORCID 0000-0002-0242-2165
Sarah J AitkenConcord Clinical School, Faculty of Medicine and Health, University of Sydney, Concord, Australia.
Sarah N HilmerKolling Institute of Medical Research, Sydney Medical School, University of Sydney and Royal North Shore Hospital, St Leonards, Australia.
John S CullenDepartment of Geriatric Medicine, Concord Hospital, Concord, Australia.
Minna F YumolDepartment of Geriatric Medicine, Concord Hospital, Concord, Australia.ORCID 0000-0002-6395-7446
Jacqueline C T CloseFalls, Balance and Injury Research Centre, Neuroscience Research Australia, Randwick, Australia.
Christina M NorrisFalls, Balance and Injury Research Centre, Neuroscience Research Australia, Randwick, Australia.
Richard KerdicDepartment of Vascular Surgery, Concord Hospital, Concord, Australia.
Vasi NaganathanDepartment of Geriatric Medicine, Concord Hospital, Concord, Australia.
The University of Sydney · AUConcord Repatriation General Hospital · AUPrince of Wales Hospital · AUThe University of Queensland · AU

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundFrailty in older vascular surgery patients is associated with increased mortality, hospital stay, and morbidity. The association of frailty with hospital-acquired geriatric syndromes such as delirium and functional decline has not been well studied.

objectivesTo investigate the association between frailty and hospital-acquired geriatric syndromes in older hospitalized vascular surgery patients, and to evaluate the prognostic performance of the frailty index (FI) and the Clinical Frailty Scale (CFS) for delirium and functional decline.

designProspective cohort study.

settingAcute care academic hospital.

participantsPatients aged 65 years or more admitted to a tertiary vascular surgery unit (N=150). MEASUREMENTS: Frailty was assessed using the FI and CFS. The adjusted association of frailty status with delirium and functional decline was assessed using logistic regression analysis. The prognostic performance of FI and CFS was determined by assessing C-statistic and positive and negative predictive values (PPV and NPV).

resultsOf 150 participants, FI identified 34 (23%) and CFS identified 45 (30%) as frail. Frailty was an independent predictor of delirium (FI adjusted odds ratio, odds ratio (OR) = 5.66, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.53-21.03; CFS adjusted OR = 4.07, 95% CI = 1.14-14.50), but not functional decline. FI and CFS showed acceptable prognostic performance for delirium (C-statistic 0.74), but not functional decline (C-statistic 0.63-0.64). For both outcomes, the FI and CFS had high NPV (86-96%), and low PPV (22-29%).

conclusionFrail older vascular surgery patients are more likely to develop hospital-acquired geriatric syndromes. The FI and CFS have acceptable prognostic performance for predicting delirium but not all individuals who are identified as frail develop delirium. Ongoing research is needed to identify interventions that improve outcomes in patients who screen positive for frailty.

Indexed as

Geriatric AssessmentAgedAged, 80 and overDeliriumFemaleFrailtyHospitalizationHumansMalePhysical Functional PerformanceProspective StudiesRisk FactorsROC CurveVascular Surgical Proceduresdeliriumfrailtyfunctiongeriatric surgery

Identifiers

PMID33151550
OpenAlexW3095827965

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.