Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33148758›Full record

ArticleBMJ open2020

Association between homicide rates and suicide rates: a countrywide longitudinal analysis of 5507 Brazilian municipalities.

Daiane Borges Machado, Keltie McDonald, Luis F S Castro-de-Araujo, Delan Devakumar, Flávia Jôse Oliveira Alves, Lígia Kiss, Glyn Lewis, Mauricio L Barreto

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMJ open, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

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3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

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PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Daiane Borges Machado *Center of Data and Knowledge Integration for Health, Salvador, Brazil.
Keltie McDonald *Division of Psychiatry, University College London, London, UK k.mcdonald@ucl.ac.uk.ORCID 0000-0002-0204-9049
Luis F S Castro-de-AraujoCenter of Data and Knowledge Integration for Health, Salvador, Brazil.
Delan DevakumarInstitute for Global Health, University College London, London, UK.
Flávia Jôse Oliveira AlvesCenter of Data and Knowledge Integration for Health, Salvador, Brazil.
Lígia KissInstitute for Global Health, University College London, London, UK.
Glyn LewisDivision of Psychiatry, University College London, London, UK.
Mauricio L BarretoInstituto de Saúde Coletiva, Federal University of Bahia, Salvador, Bahia, Brazil.

Funding

Medical Research Council MC_PC_MR/R018677/1Wellcome TrustWellcome Trust 202912/Z/16/Z
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo estimate the association between homicide and suicide rates in Brazilian municipalities over a period of 7 years.

designWe conducted a longitudinal ecological study using annual mortality data from 5507 Brazilian municipalities between 2008 and 2014. Multivariable negative binomial regression models were used to examine the relationship between homicide and suicide rates. Robustness of results was explored using sensitivity analyses to examine the influence of data quality, population size, age and sex on the relationship between homicide and suicide rates.

settingA nationwide study of municipality-level data.

participantsMortality data and corresponding population estimates for municipal populations aged 10 years and older. PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES: Age-standardised suicide rates per 100 000.

resultsMunicipal suicide rates were positively associated with municipal homicide rates; after adjusting for socioeconomic and demographic factors, a doubling of the homicide rate was associated with 22% increase in suicide rate (rate ratio=1.22, 95% CI: 1.13 to 1.33). A dose-response effect was observed with 4% increase in suicide rates at the third quintile, 9% at the fourth quintile and 12% at the highest quintile of homicide rates compared with the lowest quintile. The observed effect estimates were robust to sensitivity analyses.

conclusionsMunicipalities with higher homicide rates have higher suicide rates and the relationship between homicide and suicide rates in Brazil exists independently of many sociodemographic and socioeconomic factors. Our results are in line with the hypothesis that changes in homicide rates lead to changes in suicide rates, although a causal association cannot be established from this study. Suicide and homicide rates have increased in Brazil despite increased community mental health support and incarceration, respectively; therefore, new avenues for intervention are needed. The identification of a positive relationship between homicide and suicide rates suggests that population-based interventions to reduce homicide rates may also reduce suicide rates in Brazil.

Indexed as

HomicideSuicideBrazilChildCitiesHumansSocioeconomic Factorsepidemiologymental healthpsychiatrypublic healthsuicide and self-harm

Identifiers

PMID33148758
PMCPMC7643512

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