Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33146389›Full record

ArticleRheumatology (Oxford, England)2021

Identification and prediction of novel classes of long-term disease trajectories for patients with juvenile dermatomyositis using growth mixture models.

Claire T Deakin, Charalampia Papadopoulou, Liza J McCann, Neil Martin, Muthana Al-Obaidi, Sandrine Compeyrot-Lacassagne, Clarissa A Pilkington, Sarah L Tansley, Neil J McHugh, Lucy R Wedderburn and 2 more

Open access · hybridAbstract readMulticenter Study
In one paragraph

Article in Rheumatology (Oxford, England), 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
1.0field-weighted citation impact, top 22% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed, 15 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors at 4 institutions in 1 country.

Claire T DeakinInfection, Immunity and Inflammation Research and Teaching Department, UCL Great Ormond Street Institute of Child Health, UCL, London, UK.
Charalampia PapadopoulouInfection, Immunity and Inflammation Research and Teaching Department, UCL Great Ormond Street Institute of Child Health, UCL, London, UK.
Liza J McCannDepartment of Paediatric Rheumatology, Alder Hey Children's NHS Foundation Trust, Liverpool, UK.
Neil MartinRheumatology Department, Royal Hospital for Sick Children, Glasgow.
Muthana Al-ObaidiRheumatology Unit, Great Ormond Street Hospital, London, UK.
Sandrine Compeyrot-LacassagneRheumatology Unit, Great Ormond Street Hospital, London, UK.
Clarissa A PilkingtonRheumatology Unit, Great Ormond Street Hospital, London, UK.
Sarah L TansleyDepartment of Pharmacy and Pharmacology, University of Bath, Bath, UK.
Neil J McHughDepartment of Pharmacy and Pharmacology, University of Bath, Bath, UK.
Lucy R WedderburnInfection, Immunity and Inflammation Research and Teaching Department, UCL Great Ormond Street Institute of Child Health, UCL, London, UK.
Bianca L De StavolaPopulation, Policy and Practice Research and Teaching Department, UCL Great Ormond Street Institute of Child Health, London, UK.
Juvenile Dermatomyositis Research Group
Great Ormond Street Hospital · GBUniversity of Bath · GBAlder Hey Children's NHS Foundation Trust · GBRoyal Hospital for Children · GB

Funding

Medical Research Council MR/N003322/1Versus Arthritis 21552Wellcome Trust
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesUncertainty around clinical heterogeneity and outcomes for patients with JDM represents a major burden of disease and a challenge for clinical management. We sought to identify novel classes of patients having similar temporal patterns in disease activity and relate them to baseline clinical features.

methodsData were obtained for n = 519 patients, including baseline demographic and clinical features, baseline and follow-up records of physician's global assessment of disease (PGA), and skin disease activity (modified DAS). Growth mixture models (GMMs) were fitted to identify classes of patients with similar trajectories of these variables. Baseline predictors of class membership were identified using Lasso regression.

resultsGMM analysis of PGA identified two classes of patients. Patients in class 1 (89%) tended to improve, while patients in class 2 (11%) had more persistent disease. Lasso regression identified abnormal respiration, lipodystrophy and time since diagnosis as baseline predictors of class 2 membership, with estimated odds ratios, controlling for the other two variables, of 1.91 for presence of abnormal respiration, 1.92 for lipodystrophy and 1.32 for time since diagnosis. GMM analysis of modified DAS identified three classes of patients. Patients in classes 1 (16%) and 2 (12%) had higher levels of modified DAS at diagnosis that improved or remained high, respectively. Patients in class 3 (72%) began with lower DAS levels that improved more quickly. Higher proportions of patients in PGA class 2 were in DAS class 2 (19%, compared with 16 and 10%).

conclusionGMM analysis identified novel JDM phenotypes based on longitudinal PGA and modified DAS.

Indexed as

ChildChild, PreschoolDermatomyositisDisease ProgressionFemaleHumansMaleModels, StatisticalSkinTime FactorsUnited KingdombiostatisticsJDMmyositispaediatric rheumatologypatient outcomes

Identifiers

PMID33146389
PMCPMC8023987
OpenAlexW3096506807

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.