Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33136133›Full record

ArticleJAMA network open2020

Development and Performance of a Clinical Decision Support Tool to Inform Resource Utilization for Elective Operations.

Benjamin A Goldstein, Marcelo Cerullo, Vijay Krishnamoorthy, Jeanna Blitz, Leila Mureebe, Wendy Webster, Felicia Dunston, Andrew Stirling, Jennifer Gagnon, Charles D Scales

Open access · goldAbstract readEvaluation Study
In one paragraph

Article in JAMA network open, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 17 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
17citing papers in PubMed
3.0field-weighted citation impact, top 7% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

17 citing papers in PubMed, 27 citations in OpenAlex.

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  4. Ambulatory Surgery Ensemble: Predicting Adult and Pediatric Same-Day Surgery Cases Across Specialties.Annals of surgery open : perspectives of surgical history, education, and clinical approaches · 2025
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  5. Development of Multiservice Machine Learning Models to Predict Postsurgical Length of Stay and Discharge Disposition at the Time of Case Posting.Annals of surgery open : perspectives of surgical history, education, and clinical approaches · 2025
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  6. Surgeon attitudes toward risk stratification in emergency surgery for the elderly: an ESTES cross-sectional survey.European journal of trauma and emergency surgery : official publication of the European Trauma Society · 2025
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  9. Explainable artificial intelligence in emergency medicine: an overview.Clinical and experimental emergency medicine · 2023
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  16. Observational
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

Benjamin A GoldsteinDepartment of Biostatistics and Bioinformatics, Duke University, Durham, North Carolina.
Marcelo CerulloDepartment of Surgery, Duke University, Durham, North Carolina.
Vijay KrishnamoorthyDepartment of Anesthesiology, Duke University, Durham, North Carolina.
Jeanna BlitzDepartment of Anesthesiology, Duke University, Durham, North Carolina.
Leila MureebeDepartment of Surgery, Duke University, Durham, North Carolina.
Wendy WebsterDepartment of Surgery, Duke University, Durham, North Carolina.
Felicia DunstonDuke Health Technology Solutions, Duke University Health System, Durham, North Carolina.
Andrew StirlingDuke Health Technology Solutions, Duke University Health System, Durham, North Carolina.
Jennifer GagnonDuke Health Technology Solutions, Duke University Health System, Durham, North Carolina.
Charles D ScalesDepartment of Population Health Sciences, Duke University, Durham, North Carolina.
Duke University · USDuke University Health System · USClinical Research Institute · US

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Importance: Hospitals ceased most elective procedures during the height of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) infections. As hospitals begin to recommence elective procedures, it is necessary to have a means to assess how resource intensive a given case may be. Objective: To evaluate the development and performance of a clinical decision support tool to inform resource utilization for elective procedures. Design, Setting, and Participants: In this prognostic study, predictive modeling was used on retrospective electronic health records data from a large academic health system comprising 1 tertiary care hospital and 2 community hospitals of patients undergoing scheduled elective procedures from January 1, 2017, to March 1, 2020. Electronic health records data on case type, patient demographic characteristics, service utilization history, comorbidities, and medications were and abstracted and analyzed. Data were analyzed from April to June 2020. Main Outcomes and Measures: Predicitons of hospital length of stay, intensive care unit length of stay, need for mechanical ventilation, and need to be discharged to a skilled nursing facility. These predictions were generated using the random forests algorithm. Predicted probabilities were turned into risk classifications designed to give assessments of resource utilization risk. Results: Data from the electronic health records of 42 199 patients from 3 hospitals were abstracted for analysis. The median length of stay was 2.3 days (range, 1.3-4.2 days), 6416 patients (15.2%) were admitted to the intensive care unit, 1624 (3.8%) received mechanical ventilation, and 2843 (6.7%) were discharged to a skilled nursing facility. Predictive performance was strong with an area under the receiver operator characteristic ranging from 0.76 to 0.93. Sensitivity of the high-risk and medium-risk groupings was set at 95%. The negative predictive value of the low-risk grouping was 99%. We integrated the models into a daily refreshing Tableau dashboard to guide decision-making. Conclusions and Relevance: The clinical decision support tool is currently being used by surgical leadership to inform case scheduling. This work shows the importance of a learning health care environment in surgical care, using quantitative modeling to guide decision-making.

Indexed as

Coronavirus InfectionsDecision MakingDecision Support Systems, ClinicalElective Surgical ProceduresHealth Care RationingHospitalizationHospitalsPandemicsPneumonia, ViralAgedBetacoronavirusComorbidityCOVID-19Electronic Health RecordsFemaleHumans

Identifiers

PMID33136133
PMCPMC7607444
OpenAlexW3096153989

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.