ArticlePeerJ2020
Spatiotemporal expansion of human brucellosis in Shaanxi Province, Northwestern China and model for risk prediction.
Article in PeerJ, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 16 papers.
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Who cites it
16 citing papers in PubMed.
- Spatiotemporal dynamics, clustering, and ARIMA-based short-term prediction of human brucellosis in Xinjiang, China.BMC infectious diseases · 2026Article
- Climate-Sensitive Transmission of Human Brucellosis: A Systematic Review of Climatic and Environmental Determinants in the Middle East.Journal of tropical medicine · 2026Review
- Interactions between brucellosis and environmental factors: spatiotemporal epidemiology from Xinjiang, China.BMC public health · 2025Article
- Risk effects of environmental factors on human brucellosis in Aksu Prefecture, Xinjiang, China, 2014-2023.Scientific reports · 2025Article
- Spatiotemporal risk of human brucellosis under intensification of livestock keeping based on machine learning techniques in Shaanxi, China.Epidemiology and infection · 2024Article
- Risk effects of meteorological factors on human brucellosis in Jilin province, China, 2005-2019.Heliyon · 2024Article
- The spatiotemporal epidemiological study on human brucellosis in shenyang, China from 2013 to 2022.Heliyon · 2024Article
- The spatiotemporal trend of human brucellosis in China and driving factors using interpretability analysis.Scientific reports · 2024Article
- Asymmetric Effects of Weather-Integrated Human Brucellosis Forecasting System Using a New Nonlinear Autoregressive Distributed Lag Model.Transboundary and emerging diseases · 2024Article
- Socioeconomic, meteorological factors and spatiotemporal distribution of human brucellosis in China between 2004 and 2019-A study based on spatial panel model.PLoS neglected tropical diseases · 2023Article
- Driving role of climatic and socioenvironmental factors on human brucellosis in China: machine-learning-based predictive analyses.Infectious diseases of poverty · 2023Article
- Driving effect of multiplex factors on human brucellosis in high incidence region, implication for brucellosis based on one health concept.One health (Amsterdam, Netherlands) · 2022Article
- Exploring risk transfer of human brucellosis in the context of livestock agriculture transition: A case study in Shaanxi, China.Frontiers in public health · 2022Article
- Epidemic characteristics and transmission risk prediction of brucellosis in Xi'an city, Northwest China.Frontiers in public health · 2022Article
- Seroprevalence of human brucellosis among the tribal and non-tribal population residing in an eastern state of India: Findings from the state-wide serosurvey.Frontiers in microbiology · 2022Article
- Changes in the epidemiological characteristics of human brucellosis in Shaanxi Province from 2008 to 2020.Scientific reports · 2021Article
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9 authors.
Funding
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Abstract
backgroundHuman brucellosis imposes a heavy burden on the health and economy of endemic regions. Since 2011, China has reported at least 35,000 human brucellosis cases annually, with more than 90% of these cases reported in the northern. Given the alarmingly high incidence and variation in the geographical distribution of human brucellosis cases, there is an urgent need to decipher the causes of such variation in geographical distribution.
methodWe conducted a retrospective epidemiological study in Shaanxi Province from January 1, 2005 to December 31, 2018 to investigate the association between meteorological factors and transmission of human brucellosis according to differences in geographical distribution and seasonal fluctuation in northwestern China for the first time.
resultsHuman brucellosis cases were mainly distributed in the Shaanbei upland plateau before 2008 and then slowly extended towards the southern region with significant seasonal fluctuation. The results of quasi-Poisson generalized additive mixed model (GAMM) indicated that air temperature, sunshine duration, rainfall, relative humidity, and evaporation with maximum lag time within 7 months played crucial roles in the transmission of human brucellosis with seasonal fluctuation. Compared with the Shaanbei upland plateau, Guanzhong basin had more obvious fluctuations in the occurrence of human brucellosis due to changes in meteorological factors. Additionally, the established GAMM model showed high accuracy in predicting the occurrence of human brucellosis based on the meteorological factors.
conclusionThese findings may be used to predict the seasonal fluctuations of human brucellosis and to develop reliable and cost-effective prevention strategies in Shaanxi Province and other areas with similar environmental conditions.
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