Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33131359›Full record

Observational studyJournal of the American Heart Association2020

Novel Blood Cytokine-Based Model for Predicting Severe Acute Kidney Injury and Poor Outcomes After Cardiac Surgery.

Zhongli Chen, Liang Chen, Guangyu Yao, Wenbo Yang, Ke Yang, Chenglong Xiong

Open access · goldAbstract readObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in Journal of the American Heart Association, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 24 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
24citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
2.5field-weighted citation impact, top 10% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

24 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 32 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

Zhongli ChenDepartment of Vascular & Cardiology Ruijin Hospital Shanghai Jiaotong University School of Medicine Shanghai China.
Liang ChenDepartment of Cardiac Surgery State Key Laboratory of Cardiovascular Disease Fuwai Hospital National Center for Cardiovascular Diseases Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College Beijing China.
Guangyu YaoDepartment of Thoracic Surgery Zhongshan Hospital Fudan University Shanghai China.
Wenbo YangDepartment of Vascular & Cardiology Ruijin Hospital Shanghai Jiaotong University School of Medicine Shanghai China.
Ke YangDepartment of Vascular & Cardiology Ruijin Hospital Shanghai Jiaotong University School of Medicine Shanghai China.
Chenglong XiongDepartment of Epidemiology School of Public Health Fudan University Shanghai China.
Ruijin Hospital · CNFudan University · CNChinese Academy of Medical Sciences & Peking Union Medical College · CN

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background Alterations in serum creatinine levels delay the identification of severe cardiac surgery-associated acute kidney injury. To provide timely diagnosis, novel predictive tools should be investigated. Methods and Results This prospective observational study consists of a screening cohort (n=204) and a validation cohort (n=198) from 2 centers from our hospital. Thirty-two inflammatory cytokines were measured via a multiplex cytokine assay. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression was conducted to select the cytokine signatures of severe cardiac surgery-associated acute kidney injury. Afterwards, the significant candidates including interferon-γ, interleukin-16, and MIP-1α (macrophage inflammatory protein-1 alpha) were integrated into the logistic regression model to construct a predictive model. The predictive accuracy of the model was evaluated in these 2 cohorts. The cytokine-based model yielded decent performance in both the screening (C-statistic: 0.87, Brier 0.10) and validation cohorts (C-statistic: 0.86, Brier 0.11). Decision curve analysis revealed that the cytokine-based model had a superior net benefit over both the clinical factor-based model and the established plasma biomarker-based model for predicting severe acute kidney injury. In addition, elevated concentrations of each cytokine were associated with longer mechanical ventilation times, intensive care unit stays, and hospital stays. They strongly predicted the risk of composite events (defined as treatment with renal replacement therapy and/or in-hospital death) (OR of the fourth versus the first quartile [95% CI]: interferon-γ, 27.78 [3.61-213.84], interleukin-16, 38.07 [4.98-291.07], and MIP-1α, 9.13 [2.84-29.33]). Conclusions Our study developed and validated a promising blood cytokine-based model for predicting severe acute kidney injury after cardiac surgery and identified prognostic biomarkers for assisting in outcome risk stratification.

Indexed as

Acute Kidney InjuryAdultAgedBiomarkersCardiac Surgical ProceduresCreatinineCritical CareCytokinesFemaleHumansLogistic ModelsMachine LearningMaleMiddle AgedPostoperative ComplicationsPredictive Value of TestsBiomarkersCreatinineCytokinesacute kidney injurybiomarkerblood cytokinesCSA‐AKIpredictive model

Identifiers

PMID33131359
PMCPMC7763725
OpenAlexW3095833066

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.