Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33130573›Full record

Observational studyBMJ open2020

New geographic model of care to manage the post-COVID-19 elective surgery aftershock in England: a retrospective observational study.

Jonathan Clarke, Alice Murray, Sheraz Rehan Markar, Mauricio Barahona, James Kinross, PanSurg Collaborative

Open access · goldAbstract readObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in BMJ open, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
1.4field-weighted citation impact, top 15% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed, 21 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Observational
  4. Article
  5. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Jonathan Clarke *Department of Mathematics, Imperial College of Science, Technology and Medicine, London, UK j.clarke@imperial.ac.uk.ORCID 0000-0003-1495-7746
Alice Murray *Department of Surgery and Cancer, Imperial College of Science, Technology and Medicine, London, UK.
Sheraz Rehan MarkarDepartment of Surgery and Cancer, Imperial College of Science, Technology and Medicine, London, UK.ORCID 0000-0001-8650-2017
Mauricio BarahonaDepartment of Mathematics, Imperial College of Science, Technology and Medicine, London, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-1089-5675
James KinrossDepartment of Surgery and Cancer, Imperial College of Science, Technology and Medicine, London, UK.
PanSurg Collaborative
Imperial College London · GB

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesThe suspension of elective surgery during the COVID-19 pandemic is unprecedented and has resulted in record volumes of patients waiting for operations. Novel approaches that maximise capacity and efficiency of surgical care are urgently required. This study applies Markov multiscale community detection (MMCD), an unsupervised graph-based clustering framework, to identify new surgical care models based on pooled waiting-lists delivered across an expanded network of surgical providers.

designRetrospective observational study using Hospital Episode Statistics.

settingPublic and private hospitals providing surgical care to National Health Service (NHS) patients in England.

participantsAll adult patients resident in England undergoing NHS-funded planned surgical procedures between 1 April 2017 and 31 March 2018.

main outcome measuresThe identification of the most common planned surgical procedures in England (high-volume procedures (HVP)) and proportion of low, medium and high-risk patients undergoing each HVP. The mapping of hospitals providing surgical care onto optimised groupings based on patient usage data.

resultsA total of 7 811 891 planned operations were identified in 4 284 925 adults during the 1-year period of our study. The 28 most common surgical procedures accounted for a combined 3 907 474 operations (50.0% of the total). 2 412 613 (61.7%) of these most common procedures involved 'low risk' patients. Patients travelled an average of 11.3 km for these procedures. Based on the data, MMCD partitioned England into 45, 16 and 7 mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive natural surgical communities of increasing coarseness. The coarser partitions into 16 and seven surgical communities were shown to be associated with balanced supply and demand for surgical care within communities.

conclusionsPooled waiting-lists for low-risk elective procedures and patients across integrated, expanded natural surgical community networks have the potential to increase efficiency by innovatively flexing existing supply to better match demand.

Indexed as

Markov ChainsModels, OrganizationalPandemicsWaiting ListsAdultBetacoronavirusCommunity NetworksCoronavirus InfectionsCOVID-19Efficiency, OrganizationalElective Surgical ProceduresEnglandHealth Services AccessibilityHumansIntersectoral CollaborationPneumonia, Viralhealth policyorganisation of health servicespublic healthsurgery

Identifiers

PMID33130573
PMCPMC7783383
OpenAlexW3095160904

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.