Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33127456›Full record

ArticleThe Journal of infection2020

Prior presumed coronavirus infection reduces COVID-19 risk: A cohort study.

Dvir Aran, Daniel C Beachler, Stephan Lanes, J Marc Overhage

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The Journal of infection, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 40 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
40citing papers in PubMed
0.9field-weighted citation impact, top 14% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

40 citing papers in PubMed, 48 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors at 2 institutions in 2 countries.

Dvir AranFaculty of Biology, Technion-Israel Institute of Technology, Haifa, Israel; Department of Computer Science, Technion-Israel Institute of Technology, Haifa, Israel; Lorry I. Lokey Interdisciplinary Center for Life Sciences & Engineering, Technion-Israel Institute of Technology, Haifa, Israel; Anthem AI, Anthem Inc. Palo Alto, USA. Electronic address: dviraran@technion.ac.il.
Daniel C BeachlerHealthCore, Anthem Inc., Wilmington, DE, USA.
Stephan LanesHealthCore, Anthem Inc., Wilmington, DE, USA.
J Marc OverhageHealthCore, Anthem Inc., Wilmington, DE, USA.
Anthem (United States) · USTechnion – Israel Institute of Technology · IL

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundImmunological cross-reactivity between common cold coronaviruses (CCC) and SARS-CoV-2 might account for the reduced incidence of COVID-19 in children. Evidence to support speculation includes in vitro evidence for humoral and cellular cross-reactivity with SARS-CoV-2 in specimens obtained before the pandemic started.

methodWe used retrospective health insurance enrollment records, claims, and laboratory results to assemble a cohort of 869,236 insured individuals who had a PCR test for SARS-CoV-2. We estimated the effects of having clinical encounters for various diagnostic categories in the year preceding the study period on the risk of a positive test result.

findingsAfter adjusting for age, gender and care seeking behavior, we identified that individuals with diagnoses for common cold symptoms, including acute sinusitis, bronchitis, or pharyngitis in the preceding year had a lower risk of testing positive for SARS-CoV-2 (OR=0.76, 95%CI=0.75, 0.77). No reduction in the odds of a positive test for SARS-CoV-2 was seen in individuals under 18 years. The reduction in odds in adults remained stable for four years but was strongest in those with recent common cold symptoms.

interpretationWhile this study cannot attribute this association to cross-immunity resulting from a prior CCC infection, it is one potential explanation. Regardless of the cause, the reduction in the odds of being infected by SARS-CoV-2 among those with a recent diagnosis of common cold symptoms may have a role in shifting future COVD-19 infection patterns from endemic to episodic.

Indexed as

AdolescentAdultAgedAged, 80 and overChildChild, PreschoolCohort StudiesCommon ColdCoronavirusCoronavirus InfectionsCOVID-19Cross ReactionsFemaleHumansImmunityIncidenceCommon coldCovid-19Cross reactiveSARS-Cov-2

Identifiers

PMID33127456
PMCPMC7590640
OpenAlexW3095557977

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.