Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33122302›Full record

ArticleHeart (British Cardiac Society)2021

Clinical and budget impacts of changes in oral anticoagulation prescribing for atrial fibrillation.

Andi Orlowski, Chris P Gale, Rachel Ashton, Bruno Petrungaro, Ruth Slater, Ramesh Nadarajah, J Campbell Cowan, Jackie Buck, Wayne Smith, Jianhua Wu

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Heart (British Cardiac Society), 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
12citing papers in PubMed
3.4field-weighted citation impact, top 6% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

12 citing papers in PubMed, 31 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Trial
  2. Article
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  6. Drug-Associated Gastropathy: Diagnostic Criteria.Diagnostics (Basel, Switzerland) · 2023
    Review
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
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  11. Optimizing adherence and persistence to non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulant therapy in atrial fibrillation.European heart journal supplements : journal of the European Society of Cardiology · 2022
    Article
  12. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors at 4 institutions in 3 countries.

Andi OrlowskiThe Health Econimics Unit, West Bromwich, UK a.orlowski19@imperial.ac.uk.
Chris P GaleLeeds Institute of Cardiovascular and Metabolic Medicine, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK.
Rachel AshtonBusiness Intelligence, Imperial College Health Partners, London, UK.ORCID 0000-0003-1755-7975
Bruno PetrungaroBusiness Intelligence, Imperial College Health Partners, London, UK.
Ruth SlaterBusiness Intelligence, Imperial College Health Partners, London, UK.
Ramesh NadarajahDepartment of Cardiology, Leeds General Infirmary, Leeds, UK.
J Campbell CowanDepartment of Cardiology, Leeds General Infirmary, Leeds, UK.
Jackie BuckFaculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, University of East Anglia, Norwich, UK.
Wayne SmithThe Health Econimics Unit, West Bromwich, UK.
Jianhua WuLeeds Institute for Data Analytics, University of Leeds, Leeds, UK.ORCID 0000-0001-6093-599X
Kings Health Partners · GBLeeds General Infirmary · GBUniversity of East Anglia · GBUniversity of Leeds · GB

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo assess temporal clinical and budget impacts of changes in atrial fibrillation (AF)-related prescribing in England.

methodsData on AF prevalence, AF-related stroke incidence and prescribing for all National Health Service general practices, hospitals and registered patients with hospitalised AF-related stroke in England were obtained from national databases. Stroke care costs were based on published data. We compared changes in oral anticoagulation prescribing (warfarin or direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs)), incidence of hospitalised AF-related stroke, and associated overall and per-patient costs in the periods January 2011-June 2014 and July 2014-December 2017.

resultsBetween 2011-2014 and 2014-2017, recipients of oral anticoagulation for AF increased by 86.5% from 1 381 170 to 2 575 669. The number of patients prescribed warfarin grew by 16.1% from 1 313 544 to 1 525 674 and those taking DOACs by 1452.7% from 67 626 to 1 049 995. Prescribed items increased by 5.9% for warfarin (95% CI 2.9% to 8.9%) but by 2004.8% for DOACs (95% CI 1848.8% to 2160.7%). Oral anticoagulation prescription cost rose overall by 781.2%, from £87 313 310 to £769 444 028, (£733,466,204 with warfarin monitoring) and per patient by 50.7%, from £293 to £442, giving an incremental cost of £149. Nevertheless, as AF-related stroke incidence fell by 11.3% (95% CI -11.5% to -11.1%) from 86 467 in 2011-2014 to 76 730 in 2014-2017 with adjustment for AF prevalence, the overall per-patient cost reduced from £1129 to £840, giving an incremental per-patient saving of £289.

conclusionsDespite nearly one million additional DOAC prescriptions and substantial associated spending in the latter part of this study, the decline in AF-related stroke led to incremental savings at the national level.

Indexed as

BudgetsHealth Care CostsAnticoagulantsAtrial FibrillationEnglandFactor Xa InhibitorsHumansProspective StudiesStrokeWarfarinAnticoagulantsFactor Xa InhibitorsWarfarinatrial fibrillationoral anticoagulants

Identifiers

PMID33122302
PMCPMC7788263
OpenAlexW3096258523

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.