Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33116987›Full record

ArticleRisk management and healthcare policy2020

A Country Pandemic Risk Exposure Measurement Model.

Simon Grima, Murat Kizilkaya, Ramona Rupeika-Apoga, Inna Romānova, Rebecca Dalli Gonzi, Mihajlo Jakovljevic

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Risk management and healthcare policy, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 16 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
16citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

16 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. COVID-19 Pandemic Risk Assessment: Systematic Review.Risk management and healthcare policy · 2024
    Review
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Appraisal of a Contact Tracing Training Program for COVID-19 in Greece Focusing on Vulnerable Populations.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2021
    Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Review
  15. Corona-Triggered Global Macroeconomic Crisis of the Early 2020s.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2020
    Article
  16. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Simon GrimaDepartment of Insurance, Faculty of Economics, Management and Accountancy, University of Malta, Msida, Malta.
Murat KizilkayaDepartment of Economics, Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, Ardahan University, Ardahan, Turkey.ORCID 0000-0002-2527-7554
Ramona Rupeika-ApogaDepartment of Business, Management and Economics, University of Latvia, Riga, Latvia.ORCID 0000-0002-3941-0723
Inna RomānovaDepartment of Business, Management and Economics, University of Latvia, Riga, Latvia.ORCID 0000-0002-0935-7749
Rebecca Dalli GonziDepartment of Construction & Property Management, University of Malta, MSD, Msida, 2080, Malta.ORCID 0000-0003-2183-8331
Mihajlo JakovljevicInstitute of Comparative Economic Studies ICES, Faculty of Economics, Hosei University, Tokyo, Japan.ORCID 0000-0002-9160-6846

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeThe purpose of this study is to develop a Pandemic Risk Exposure Measurement (PREM) model to determine the factors that affect a country's prospective vulnerability to a pandemic risk exposure also considering the current COVID-19 pandemic.

methodsTo develop the model, drew up an inventory of possible factor variables that might expose a country's vulnerability to a pandemic such as COVID-19. This model was based on the analysis of existing literature and consultations with some experts and associations. To support the inventory of selected possible factor variables, we have conducted a survey with participants sampled from people working in a risk management environment carrying out a risk management function. The data were subjected to statistical analysis, specifically exploratory factor analysis and Cronbach Alpha to determine and group these factor variables and determine their reliability, respectively. This enabled the development of the PREM model. To eliminate possible bias, hierarchical regression analysis was carried out to examine the effect of the "Level of Experienced Hazard of the Participant (LEH)" considering also the "Level of Expertise and Knowledge about Risk and Risk Management (LEK)".

resultsExploratory factor analysis loaded best on four factors from 19 variables: Demographic Features, Country's Activity Features, Economic Exposure and Societal Vulnerability (i.e. the PREM Model). This model explains 65.5% of the variance in the level of experienced hazard (LEH). Additionally, we determined that LEK explains only about 2% of the variance in LEH.

conclusionThe developed PREM model shows that monitoring of Demographic Features, Country's Activity Features, Economic Exposure and Societal Vulnerability can help a country to identify the possible impact of pandemic risk exposure and develop policies, strategies, regulations, etc., to help a country strengthen its capacity to meet the economic, social and in turn healthcare demands due to pandemic hazards such as COVID-19.

Indexed as

COVID-19exposurehazardpandemic riskrisk measurement model

Identifiers

PMID33116987
PMCPMC7553250

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.