Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33114505›Full record

ArticleJournal of clinical medicine2020

Development of Machine Learning Model to Predict the 5-Year Risk of Starting Biologic Agents in Patients with Inflammatory Bowel Disease (IBD): K-CDM Network Study.

Youn I Choi, Sung Jin Park, Jun-Won Chung, Kyoung Oh Kim, Jae Hee Cho, Young Jae Kim, Kang Yoon Lee, Kwang Gi Kim, Dong Kyun Park, Yoon Jae Kim

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of clinical medicine, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 17 papers, 4 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
17citing papers in PubMed, 4 pooled it
2.9field-weighted citation impact, top 9% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

17 citing papers in PubMed, 4 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 24 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Youn I ChoiDepartment of Gastroenterology, Gachon University College of Internal Medicine, Gil Medical Center, 405-760 1198 Guwol dong, Namdong-gu, Incheon 21565, Korea.ORCID 0000-0001-6561-6752
Sung Jin ParkDepartment of Biomedical Engineering, Gachon University College of Medicine, Incheon 21565, Korea.
Jun-Won ChungDepartment of Gastroenterology, Gachon University College of Internal Medicine, Gil Medical Center, 405-760 1198 Guwol dong, Namdong-gu, Incheon 21565, Korea.
Kyoung Oh KimDepartment of Gastroenterology, Gachon University College of Internal Medicine, Gil Medical Center, 405-760 1198 Guwol dong, Namdong-gu, Incheon 21565, Korea.
Jae Hee ChoDepartment of Gastroenterology, Gachon University College of Internal Medicine, Gil Medical Center, 405-760 1198 Guwol dong, Namdong-gu, Incheon 21565, Korea.
Young Jae KimDepartment of Biomedical Engineering, Gachon University College of Medicine, Incheon 21565, Korea.ORCID 0000-0003-0443-0051
Kang Yoon LeeDepartment of Computer Engineering, Gachon University, Seongnamdaero, Sugjeong-gu, Seongnam-si, Gyenonggi-do 13306, Korea.ORCID 0000-0003-3078-6166
Kwang Gi KimDepartment of Biomedical Engineering, Gachon University College of Medicine, Incheon 21565, Korea.ORCID 0000-0001-9714-6038
Dong Kyun ParkDepartment of Gastroenterology, Gachon University College of Internal Medicine, Gil Medical Center, 405-760 1198 Guwol dong, Namdong-gu, Incheon 21565, Korea.
Yoon Jae KimDepartment of Gastroenterology, Gachon University College of Internal Medicine, Gil Medical Center, 405-760 1198 Guwol dong, Namdong-gu, Incheon 21565, Korea.ORCID 0000-0001-8477-6823
Gachon University · KR

Funding

Gachon University Gachon University funding (2017-0211)Gachon University Gachon University Gil Medical Center funding (Grant number : FRD2019-14)National Research Fund of Korea (2017R1D1A1B03034546) by Ministry of Education
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe incidence and global burden of inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) have steadily increased in the past few decades. Improved methods to stratify risk and predict disease-related outcomes are required for IBD.

aimThe aim of this study was to develop and validate a machine learning (ML) model to predict the 5-year risk of starting biologic agents in IBD patients.

methodWe applied an ML method to the database of the Korean common data model (K-CDM) network, a data sharing consortium of tertiary centers in Korea, to develop a model to predict the 5-year risk of starting biologic agents in IBD patients. The records analyzed were those of patients diagnosed with IBD between January 2006 and June 2017 at Gil Medical Center (GMC;

resultThe ML model for prediction of IBD-related outcomes at 5 years after diagnosis yielded an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.86 (95% CI: 0.82-0.92), in an internal validation study carried out at GMC. The model performed consistently across a range of other datasets, including that of the K-CDM network (AUC = 0.81; 95% CI: 0.80-0.85), in an external validation study.

conclusionThe ML-based prediction model can be used to identify IBD-related outcomes in patients at risk, enabling physicians to perform close follow-up based on the patient's risk level, estimated through the ML algorithm.

Indexed as

CDIBDmachine-learningUC

Identifiers

PMID33114505
PMCPMC7693158
OpenAlexW3095092152

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.