Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33113452›Full record

Trial reportPsychiatry research2020

Using Machine Learning to Predict Suicide Attempts in Military Personnel.

David C Rozek, William C Andres, Noelle B Smith, Feea R Leifker, Kim Arne, Greg Jennings, Nate Dartnell, Craig J Bryan, M David Rudd

Open access · greenAbstract readRandomized Controlled Trial
In one paragraph

Trial report in Psychiatry research, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 14 papers, 4 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
14citing papers in PubMed, 4 pooled it
1.7field-weighted citation impact, top 9% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

14 citing papers in PubMed, 4 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 37 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
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  4. Pooled it
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Review
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Leveraging data science to enhance suicide prevention research: a literature review.Injury prevention : journal of the International Society for Child and Adolescent Injury Prevention · 2022
    Review
  13. Article
  14. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors at 7 institutions in 2 countries.

David C RozekUCF RESTORES and Department of Psychology, University of Central Florida. Electronic address: david.rozek@ucf.edu.
William C AndresBoston College, Boston, MA.
Noelle B SmithVA Northeast Program Evaluation Center, West Haven, CT, USA; Yale School of Medicine, New Haven, CT, USA.
Feea R LeifkerUniversity of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT, USA.
Kim ArneUniversity of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT, USA.
Greg JenningsVaren Technologies.
Nate DartnellMondoBrain.
Craig J BryanThe Ohio State University Wexner Medical Center.
M David RuddUniversity of Memphis, Memphis, TN, USA.
University of Utah · USBoston College · USThe Ohio State University Wexner Medical Center · USUniversity of Central Florida · USUniversity of Memphis · USVarian Medical Systems (Switzerland) · CHYale University · US

Funding

Utah Center for Clinical and Translational ScienceUL1TR002538 · NCATS · UNIVERSITY OF UTAH · PI HESS, RACHEL, MAJERSIK, JENNIFER JUHL · 2018 to 2022
$26.0M
Vascular Health and Risk Factors in Children with Down SyndromeKL2TR002539 · NCATS · UNIVERSITY OF UTAH · PI MURTAUGH, MAUREEN A, NYGAARD, INGRID E · 2018 to 2022
$4.3M
NCATS NIH HHS KL2 TR002539NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR002538
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Identifying predictors of suicide attempts is critical in intervention and prevention efforts, yet finding predictors has proven difficult due to the low base rate and underpowered statistical approaches. The objective of the current study was to use machine learning to examine predictors of suicidal behaviors among high-risk suicidal Soldiers who received outpatient mental health services in a randomized controlled trial of Brief Cognitive Behavioral Therapy for Suicide Prevention (BCBT) compared to treatment as usual (TAU). Self-report measures of clinical and demographic variables, administered prior to the start of outpatient treatment to 152 participants with recent suicidal thoughts and/or behaviors were analyzed using machine learning software to identify the best combination of variables for predicting suicide attempts during or after treatment. Worst-point suicidal ideation, history of multiple suicide attempts, treatment group (i.e., BCBT or TAU), suicidogenic cognitions, and male sex were found, in combination, correctly classified 30.8% of patients who attempted suicide during the two-year follow-up period. This combination has higher sensitivity than many models that have previously been used to predict suicidal behavior. Overall, this study provides a combination of variables that can be assessed clinical to help identify high-risk suicidal individuals.

Indexed as

Suicidal IdeationAdultCognitive Behavioral TherapyFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHumansMachine LearningMaleMilitary PersonnelPredictive Value of TestsSelf ReportSuicide, AttemptedArmymachine learningmilitarypredictionSuicide

Identifiers

PMID33113452
PMCPMC7719604
OpenAlexW3093944260

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.