ArticleJournal of global health2020
A comparative, correlate analysis and projection of global and regional life expectancy, healthy life expectancy, and their GAP: 1995-2025.
Article in Journal of global health, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 29 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
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Who cites it
29 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- The impact of assistive devices on community-dwelling older adults and their informal caregivers: a systematic review.BMC geriatrics · 2022Pooled it
- Effect of an Integrative Mobile Health Intervention in Patients With Hypertension and Diabetes: Crossover Study.JMIR mHealth and uHealth · 2022Trial
- Article
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- Growing Inequities in Median Age of Death and Obesity Prevalence Between Australian Major Cities and Remote Areas: A National, Longitudinal, Spatial Analysis.Public health challenges · 2026Article
- A multi-stage stacking framework for accurate and interpretable life expectancy modeling.PloS one · 2026Article
- Perceptions of "Healthy Life Expectancy" of Individuals With Diseases: An Online Survey in Japan.Health science reports · 2025Article
- Patterns of spatial inequality in China's longevity population and its socio-economic influences.BMC public health · 2025Article
- Contributions of injury deaths to changes in life expectancy and disparity: A comparative analysis of G7 countries over two decades.Population health metrics · 2025Article
- Unravelling the determinants of life expectancy during and after the COVID-19 pandemic: a qualitative comparative analysis.Journal of global health · 2025Article
- 9-Hydroxyaristoquinolone: A New Indole Alkaloid Isolated fromInternational journal of molecular sciences · 2025Article
- Age at menopause and cognitive function and decline among middle-aged and older women in the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study, 2011-2018.Alzheimer's & dementia : the journal of the Alzheimer's Association · 2025Article
- Outliving and outlasting: explaining sex inequities in healthy life expectancy through the lens of multimorbidity and within morbidities in older populations in India.Frontiers in public health · 2025Article
- ICT, health expenditures, and healthy life expectancy: empirical evidence from the Sub-Saharan African states.Frontiers in public health · 2025Article
- Reimagining global health scholarship to tackle health inequities.SSM - population health · 2024Article
- Differential Impact of Fertility on Health-Adjusted Life Expectancy of Older Adults Across Countries of Various Levels of Socio-Demographic Index - Worldwide, 1995-2019.China CDC weekly · 2024Article
- Association Between Frailty and Pelvic Organ Prolapse in Elderly Women: A Retrospective Study.International urogynecology journal · 2024Article
- Life expectancy, long-term care demand and dynamic financing mechanism simulation: an empirical study of Zhejiang Pilot, China.BMC health services research · 2024Article
- Prevalence and factors associated with sarcopenia among older adults in a post-acute hospital in Singapore.PloS one · 2024Article
- Aging Enjoyment: A Grounded Theory Study.Iranian journal of psychiatry · 2024Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
12 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
backgroundLife expectancy (LE) and healthy life expectancy (HALE) are indicators measuring the national health level. GAP is the difference between them. This study systematically analyzed and projected LE, HALE, and GAP across global regions from 1995 to 2025.
methodsWe obtained the data of 195 countries/regions on their LE, HALE, and influencing factors from 1995 to 2017. We compared the overall changes of LE, HALE, and GAP. Multiple linear regression analysis examined relationships among LE, HALE, GAP, and the associated factors. Using the Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) model, we projected trends in LE, HALE, and GAP for 2017-2025.
resultsDuring 1995-2017, LE, HALE, and their GAP in 195 countries/regions in the world showed overall increasing trends. Global average LE increased from 66.20 to 72.98 years, HALE from 57.59 to 63.25 years, and GAP from 8.62 to 9.72 years. LE and HALE in North America, Europe, and Australia were generally higher, while Africa had the lowest rates. Females' LE, HALE, and GAP were all higher than males', but females' growth rates of LE and HALE were lower. Different factors were included to project LE, HALE, and GAP, respectively, and prediction results showed that approximately 18% of the 195 countries/regions might achieve improved LE and HALE and lower GAP.
conclusionsLE, HALE will likely continue to increase in most of countries and regions worldwide in the future and GAP will further expand. While striving to improve LE and HALE, more attention needs be made to reduce GAP and improve quality of life.
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