Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33110070›Full record

ArticleNature communications2020

Disease burden and clinical severity of the first pandemic wave of COVID-19 in Wuhan, China.

Juan Yang, Xinhua Chen, Xiaowei Deng, Zhiyuan Chen, Hui Gong, Han Yan, Qianhui Wu, Huilin Shi, Shengjie Lai, Marco Ajelli and 2 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 61 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
61citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

61 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  14. Development and Validation of a Prediction Model of the Risk of Pneumonia in Patients with SARS-CoV-2 Infection.The Canadian journal of infectious diseases & medical microbiology = Journal canadien des maladies infectieuses et de la microbiologie medicale · 2023
    Article
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  17. Confronting SARS-CoV-2 Infection: Patients' Experience in the First Pandemic Wave-Cross-Sectional Study.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022
    Article
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1 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors.

Juan YangSchool of Public Health, Key Laboratory of Public Health Safety, Ministry of Education, Fudan University, 200030, Shanghai, China.
Xinhua ChenSchool of Public Health, Key Laboratory of Public Health Safety, Ministry of Education, Fudan University, 200030, Shanghai, China.
Xiaowei DengSchool of Public Health, Key Laboratory of Public Health Safety, Ministry of Education, Fudan University, 200030, Shanghai, China.
Zhiyuan ChenSchool of Public Health, Key Laboratory of Public Health Safety, Ministry of Education, Fudan University, 200030, Shanghai, China.
Hui GongSchool of Public Health, Key Laboratory of Public Health Safety, Ministry of Education, Fudan University, 200030, Shanghai, China.
Han YanSchool of Public Health, Key Laboratory of Public Health Safety, Ministry of Education, Fudan University, 200030, Shanghai, China.
Qianhui WuSchool of Public Health, Key Laboratory of Public Health Safety, Ministry of Education, Fudan University, 200030, Shanghai, China.
Huilin ShiSchool of Public Health, Key Laboratory of Public Health Safety, Ministry of Education, Fudan University, 200030, Shanghai, China.
Shengjie LaiSchool of Public Health, Key Laboratory of Public Health Safety, Ministry of Education, Fudan University, 200030, Shanghai, China.ORCID 0000-0001-9781-8148
Marco AjelliDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Indiana University School of Public Health, Bloomington, IN, 47405, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-1753-4749
Cecile ViboudDivision of International Epidemiology and Population Studies, Fogarty International Center, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD, 20892, USA.
Prof Hongjie YuSchool of Public Health, Key Laboratory of Public Health Safety, Ministry of Education, Fudan University, 200030, Shanghai, China. yhj@fudan.edu.cn.ORCID 0000-0002-6335-5648

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The novel coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) was first reported in Wuhan, China, where the initial wave of intense community transmissions was cut short by interventions. Using multiple data sources, here we estimate the disease burden and clinical severity by age of COVID-19 in Wuhan from December 1, 2019 to March 31, 2020. Our estimates account for the sensitivity of the laboratory assays, prospective community screenings, and healthcare seeking behaviors. Rates of symptomatic cases, medical consultations, hospitalizations and deaths were estimated at 796 (95% CI: 703-977), 489 (472-509), 370 (358-384), and 36.2 (35.0-37.3) per 100,000 persons, respectively. The COVID-19 outbreak in Wuhan had a higher burden than the 2009 influenza pandemic or seasonal influenza in terms of hospitalization and mortality rates, and clinical severity was similar to that of the 1918 influenza pandemic. Our comparison puts the COVID-19 pandemic into context and could be helpful to guide intervention strategies and preparedness for the potential resurgence of COVID-19.

Indexed as

BetacoronavirusAge FactorsChinaCoronavirus InfectionsCOVID-19HospitalizationHumansIncidencePandemicsPneumonia, ViralReferral and ConsultationRiskSARS-CoV-2Severity of Illness Index

Identifiers

PMID33110070
PMCPMC7591855

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.