Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33109722›Full record

ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2020

Floristic evidence for alternative biome states in tropical Africa.

J C Aleman, A Fayolle, C Favier, A C Staver, K G Dexter, C M Ryan, A F Azihou, D Bauman, M Te Beest, E N Chidumayo and 23 more

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 18 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
18citing papers in PubMed
12.7field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

18 citing papers in PubMed, 91 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. The origin and development of the Miocene northwest African savanna.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026
    Article
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  5. The role of fire on Earth.Bioscience · 2025
    Review
  6. Article
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  10. Local genetic adaptation to habitat in wild chimpanzees.bioRxiv : the preprint server for biology · 2024
    Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Emergent structure and dynamics of tropical forest-grassland landscapes.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2023
    Article
  16. Dissecting the difference in tree species richness between Africa and South America.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2022
    Article
  17. Kelp-forest dynamics controlled by substrate complexity.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2022
    Article
  18. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

33 authors at 20 institutions in 15 countries.

J C AlemanGembloux Agro-Bio Tech, Université de Liège, 5030 Gembloux, Belgium.ORCID 0000-0003-0835-7015
A FayolleGembloux Agro-Bio Tech, Université de Liège, 5030 Gembloux, Belgium; adeline.fayolle@uliege.be.ORCID 0000-0002-6770-0031
C FavierInstitut des Sciences de l'Evolution-Montpellier, CNRS, Ecole Pratique des Hautes Etudes, Institut de Recherche pour le Développement, Université de Montpellier, 34000 Montpellier, France.ORCID 0000-0002-1126-6950
A C StaverDepartment of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Yale University, New Haven, CT 06520.
K G DexterSchool of GeoSciences, University of Edinburgh, EH8 9YL Edinburgh, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0001-9232-5221
C M RyanSchool of GeoSciences, University of Edinburgh, EH8 9YL Edinburgh, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0002-1802-0128
A F AzihouLaboratory of Applied Ecology, Faculty of Agronomic Sciences, University of Abomey-Calavi, 01 BP 526 Cotonou, Benin.ORCID 0000-0002-7400-4528
D BaumanEnvironmental Change Institute, School of Geography and the Environment, University of Oxford, OX1 3QY Oxford, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0001-9115-6518
M Te BeestCopernicus Institute of Sustainable Development, Utrecht University, 3584 CS Utrecht, The Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0003-3673-4105
E N ChidumayoMakeni Savanna Research Project, Ridgeway, 1001 Lusaka, Zambia.ORCID 0000-0002-1127-3106
J A ComiskeyInventory and Monitoring Program, National Park Service, Fredericksburg, VA 22405.ORCID 0000-0001-6710-1269
J P G M CromsigtCopernicus Institute of Sustainable Development, Utrecht University, 3584 CS Utrecht, The Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0002-8632-9469
H DessardForêts et Sociétés, Centre de Coopération Internationale en Recherche Agronomique Pour le Développement, Université de Montpellier, 34000 Montpellier, France.
J-L DoucetGembloux Agro-Bio Tech, Université de Liège, 5030 Gembloux, Belgium.ORCID 0000-0002-3277-898X
M FinckhBiodiversity, Evolution and Ecology of Plants, Institute of Plant Science and Microbiology, University of Hamburg, 22609 Hamburg, Germany.ORCID 0000-0003-2186-0854
J-F GilletGembloux Agro-Bio Tech, Université de Liège, 5030 Gembloux, Belgium.
S Gourlet-FleuryForêts et Sociétés, Centre de Coopération Internationale en Recherche Agronomique Pour le Développement, Université de Montpellier, 34000 Montpellier, France.ORCID 0000-0002-1136-4307
G P HempsonCentre for African Ecology, School of Animal, Plant and Environmental Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, 2000 Johannesburg, South Africa.ORCID 0000-0001-8055-4895
R M HoldoOdum School of Ecology, University of Georgia, Athens, GA 30602.ORCID 0000-0002-2484-0587
B KirundaWildlife Conservation Society, Kampala, Uganda.
F N KouameNature Sciences Unit, University Nangui Abrogoua, 31 BP 165 Abidjan, Côte d'Ivoire.ORCID 0000-0002-7396-6055
G MahyGembloux Agro-Bio Tech, Université de Liège, 5030 Gembloux, Belgium.
F Maiato P GonçalvesHerbário do Lubango, Instituto Superior de Ciências da Educação da Huíla, C.P. 230 Lubango, Angola.ORCID 0000-0002-8859-7491
I McNicolSchool of GeoSciences, University of Edinburgh, EH8 9YL Edinburgh, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0003-3073-5668
P Nieto QuintanoSchool of GeoSciences, University of Edinburgh, EH8 9YL Edinburgh, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0001-8333-306X
A J PlumptreWildlife Conservation Society, Kampala, Uganda.ORCID 0000-0002-9333-4047
R C PritchardSchool of GeoSciences, University of Edinburgh, EH8 9YL Edinburgh, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0002-6174-3460
R RevermannBiodiversity, Evolution and Ecology of Plants, Institute of Plant Science and Microbiology, University of Hamburg, 22609 Hamburg, Germany.ORCID 0000-0002-7044-768X
C B SchmittCenter for Development Research, University of Bonn, 53113 Bonn, Germany.ORCID 0000-0002-8527-9682
A M SwemmerSouth African Environmental Observation Network, SAEON Ndlovu Node, Phalaborwa, 1390, South Africa.ORCID 0000-0003-1378-7394
H TalilaDepartment of Ecotourism and Biodiversity Conservation, College of Agriculture and Natural Resource, Madda Walabu University, Bale Robe, Ethiopia.ORCID 0000-0002-5080-4109
E WoollenSchool of GeoSciences, University of Edinburgh, EH8 9YL Edinburgh, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0002-6504-4835
M D SwaineInstitute of Biological and Environmental Sciences, University of Aberdeen, AB24 3FX Aberdeen, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0002-8301-148X
University of Liège · BEUniversity of Edinburgh · GBCentre de Coopération Internationale en Recherche Agronomique pour le Développement · FRUtrecht University · NLWildlife Conservation Society · USAberystwyth University · GBCentre National de la Recherche Scientifique · FRGolden Valley Agricultural Research Trust · ZMInstituto Superior de Ciências da Educação da HuílaMadda Walabu University · ETNamibia University of Science and Technology · NARoyal Botanic Garden Edinburgh · GBSmithsonian Institution · USSouth African Environmental Observation Network · ZAUniversität Hamburg · DEUniversité d'Abomey-Calavi · BJUniversité Libre de Bruxelles · BEUniversité Nangui Abrogoua · CIUniversity of Bonn · DEUniversity of Georgia · US

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The idea that tropical forest and savanna are alternative states is crucial to how we manage these biomes and predict their future under global change. Large-scale empirical evidence for alternative stable states is limited, however, and comes mostly from the multimodal distribution of structural aspects of vegetation. These approaches have been criticized, as structure alone cannot separate out wetter savannas from drier forests for example, and there are also technical challenges to mapping vegetation structure in unbiased ways. Here, we develop an alternative approach to delimit the climatic envelope of the two biomes in Africa using tree species lists gathered for a large number of forest and savanna sites distributed across the continent. Our analyses confirm extensive climatic overlap of forest and savanna, supporting the alternative stable states hypothesis for Africa, and this result is corroborated by paleoecological evidence. Further, we find the two biomes to have highly divergent tree species compositions and to represent alternative compositional states. This allowed us to classify tree species as forest vs. savanna specialists, with some generalist species that span both biomes. In conjunction with georeferenced herbarium records, we mapped the forest and savanna distributions across Africa and quantified their environmental limits, which are primarily related to precipitation and seasonality, with a secondary contribution of fire. These results are important for the ongoing efforts to restore African ecosystems, which depend on accurate biome maps to set appropriate targets for the restored states but also provide empirical evidence for broad-scale bistability.

Indexed as

ClimateEcosystemForestsGrasslandAfricaFiresRainSeasonsTreesTropical Climatealternative stable statesfireprecipitation and seasonalitytree species compositiontropical biomes

Identifiers

PMID33109722
PMCPMC7668043
OpenAlexW3096580091

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.